US: Probability of a recession 6 months ahead -53%; Market pricing in almost a 60% probability of 3 (or more) additional Fed rate cuts this year

US: Probability of a recession 6 months ahead. Activity augmented yield curve model: 53% – ⁦@SoberLook⁩ ⁦@OxfordEconomics⁩ ⁦@jemcrobie⁩ pic.twitter.com/qfIZqADUAR
— Rob Hager (@Rob_Hager) August 15, 2019

Chart (@TheTerminal): Market pricing in almost a 60% probability of 3 (or more) additional Fed rate cuts this year – pic.twitter.com/xNE6zk3diY
— (((The Daily Shot))) (@SoberLook) August 15, 2019

Chart: 30yr Treasury below 2% for the first time – pic.twitter.com/vsJo3fTGx7
— (((The Daily Shot))) (@SoberLook) August 15, 2019

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