WATCH LIVE | BRAZIL ELECTION RESULTS — BOLSONARO WINS IN UPSET, BUT FALLS SHORT OF 50% MAJORITY.

The early 51% was the south reporting first. The upset is real. The knockout is not.

  • The name on the ballot is Flávio Bolsonaro, a senator. Not Jair.
  • Jair Bolsonaro is serving a 27 year sentence, under house arrest, for a coup plot after the 2022 loss. He backed his son.
  • With 99.52% counted, Flávio has 47.13%, or 55,960,302 votes.
  • Lula has 45.04%, or 53,484,316 votes.
  • Early boxes had Flávio over 50%. The Northeast came in late and pulled him under the line.
  • Blank and null votes sat near 2% and 3%.
  • A first round win needs more than half of valid votes. He missed it.
  • The runoff is Oct. 25.
  • Polls had Lula slightly ahead or tied. The count flipped that.
  • Lula is 80 and wants a fourth term, not in a row. His running mate is Geraldo Alckmin.
  • Flávio’s running mate is Alfredo Gaspar.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Brazilian_general_election

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/10/04/bolsonaro-lula-head-runoff-5-takeaways-brazils-election

https://www.noticiasaominuto.com.br/politica/2417862/flavio-bolsonaro-fica-com-47-lula-com-45-e-vao-disputar-2-turno

https://www.csmonitor.com/World/2026/1004/Brazil-s-Flavio-Bolsonaro-beats-polls-in-presidential-vote-faces-Lula-in-runoff

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