Yield Curve Un-Inverts – Recession Threat Increasing

by SpontaneousDisorder

Whilst an inverted yield curve predicts recession its the re-steepening that tells you recession is coming. My view has been that when the yield curve steepens again and stocks fall substantially that is a good leading indicator of economic contraction. US stocks are still near record highs so its to early to call. I wrote about this a few months ago.

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There is more info about the yield curve in the wiki….


Chart sauce