Decision Time

by northmantrader The first quarter of 2019 was a smash hit for bulls. Capitulating central banks, record buybacks flushing the system with artificial liquidity, constant jawboning by dovish central bankers and permanent promises of progress on a China trade deal, and a collapsing yield picture bringing back TINA (there is no alternative) all of which produced … Read more

Recession Is Coming: The Shocking Indicator You Can’t Ignore!

by Josh Sigurdson and John Sneisen of World Alternative Media Josh Sigurdson talks with David Moadel of Portfolio Wealth Global about the inevitable coming title wave on the near horizon, the recession. As the yield curve inverts like we haven’t seen since 2007, every single recession indicator is now in play. There has never been a time where we saw … Read more

Market outlook: macro weakness is offset by bullish price action

by Troy The economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why: The stock market’s long term risk:reward is no longer bullish. The medium term direction (e.g. next 6-9 months) is mostly mixed, although there is a bullish lean. The stock market’s short term is neutral We … Read more

“What we know is that the yield curve inversion preceded each of the last 11 recessions, and that alone is strong evidence of correlation.” The U.S. yield curve inverted in December. There’s a recession or worse on the horizon.

via forbes: There’s a lot of chatter about the inversion of the yield curve and how it’s an indicator of an impending recession. To better understand, let’s take a look at both the history, and the current situation. Remember that a recession is generally defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. It’s a … Read more