2022: SPX – Worst January EVER… BONDS – Worst YTD Since 1842…. Has Recession Arrived Already In The US?

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Atlanta Fed Slashes Q2 GDP Forecast To Zero Confirming Technical Recession

Curious why stocks are soaring today ahead of an expected 75bps rate-hike by The Fed (further tightening financial conditions as QT starts shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet)?

NFIB Survey Rings Recession Alarm Bells

ZeroHedge – On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zeroThe National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) signals a recession is coming—again. The reason I say “again” is because, in September 2019, we discussed these same signals:

See also  Probability of a U.S. recession has risen to highest since February 2007; “Hiring freeze” announcements jumped in May.

World’s Central Banks Got It Wrong, and Economies Pay the Price

Even after central banks recognized they got their inflation calls wrong last year, they’ve continued to flub their policy guidance, threatening greater damage to their credibility, roiling markets and undermining the pandemic recovery.

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