And there you have it, the market is now pricing that Fed Funds will be at 100bp, by end-2022.
A few months ago, taper had not started, and there was a debate about whether Fed rate lift-off could happen in 2022. Now the consensus is 4 hikes this year.
Things are on the move… pic.twitter.com/yK3xRBsRtp
— Jens Nordvig (@jnordvig) January 17, 2022
What are you thinking? pic.twitter.com/DgK1yBe3Bi
— Rudy Havenstein, media critic. (@RudyHavenstein) January 17, 2022
$spx vs $RUT small caps vs SP500 pic.twitter.com/NqciPvi5wa
— Álvaro Oviedo (@alvoviedo) January 17, 2022
Billionaire investor Bill Ackman says the Federal Reserve is losing its battle against inflation and should raise its key interest rate by a bigger-than-expected 50 basis points in March to “restore its credibility.”
“A 50 bp initial move would have the reflexive effect of reducing inflation expectations, which would moderate the need for more aggressive and economically painful steps in the future,” Ackman said in a series of tweets.
Facing pressure from Congress and the public to tackle the hottest inflation since the 1980s, a chorus of officials this month floated raising rates in March and the potential need to hike four and even five times this year, marking a clear shift in outlook from just a few weeks ago.