BIG CHANGES COMING TO BLUE AMERICA:

Joel Kotkin: COVID-19 is hitting dense urban areas the hardest, and accelerating the dispersion of Americans that had already been underway.

The COVID-19 pandemic will be shaping how we live, work and learn about the world long after the last lockdown ends and toilet paper hoarding is done, accelerating shifts that were already underway including the dispersion of population out of the nation’s densest urban areas and the long-standing trend away from mass transit and office concentration towards flatter and often home-based employment.

Amid 20 years of fanfare about how big, dense cities are the future, the country had kept spreading out with nearly all population growth since 2010 occurring in the urban periphery and smaller cities. As a new study from Heartland Forward, where I am a senior fellow, demonstrates, both immigrants and millennials—the key groups behind urban growth—are increasingly moving to interior cities and even small towns.

I predict that we’re going to find that this disease is primarily spread by air travel, dense living, and mass transit.

 

h/t GR