Sticky post Archives - Page 30 of 154

“If this doesn’t foretell a global recession & further big declines in equity prices, I don’t know what would, especially in view of Fed’s unexpected & large 50bps rate cut today,” Gary Shilling writes.

March 4, 2020 2:32 pmMarch 3, 2020 9:14 pm

This time is different? Announced buybacks plummet by 67%, panic cuts everywhere, CNBC is running the 8th “Markets in Turmoil” special since last week…. https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1234985517592137729 Announced buybacks plummet by 67% in 2020 (mostly pre-Covid-19). Probably why we are not seeing …

Consumers being squeezed again ahead of a recession; US2Y yield is collapsing like it was 2007/2008; The selloff looks far from done.

March 3, 2020 3:50 pm

Yields collapsing… Time to buy a house? At record lows, mortgage rates are still more than double 30-year yields. This ratio has never been higher. Last spike was during the worst of the ’08 meltdown. Consumers being squeezed again ahead …

At first, banks leveraged the repo market to force the Fed to ease liquidity & capital rules; now they leverage the coronavirus. Whatever it takes.

March 4, 2020 2:32 pmMarch 2, 2020 9:09 pm

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. The largest bank lobbying group in the US, the Bank Policy Institute, is now leveraging the coronavirus to pressure the Fed to relax nettlesome banking regulations imposed on banks after the Financial Crisis. These regulations, particularly the …

The bounce-back today has absolutely no indication of where the market is going.

March 2, 2020 8:52 pm

Objective Truth: #1 Points mean almost nothing, only percentages. #2 The market MAY continue to rise due to people believing the virus is nothing, or it may continue to fall. There is absolutely no telling where it will go in …

THE BIG SHORT

March 2, 2020 11:25 am

by WSBgod Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.

Market gonna break some necks this week

March 2, 2020 2:56 am

by arzt506 Last weekend I posted explaining how VIX was building huge pressure and peeps were gonna get wasted (https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/f85rkh/volatility_plays/). This week the VIX hit its highest point in almost 9 YEARS and whaddya know… this weekend we’re treated to a ton …

All info totally priced in…

March 2, 2020 2:36 am

by JackyReacher So I made a little chart for you, because I can’t stomach the stupid “pRicEd In aLrEaDy” anymore. S&P500 In the last several weeks we saw basically two corrections. The first one was when millions of Chinese were …

Too many people asking what is safe…here’s your answer.

February 29, 2020 8:08 pm

by leasthoodinthehood Nothing is safe in this market, except for the one thing that is safe. Treasuries. Yes, the yield has lowered, but demand has gone through the roof. You don’t have to physically go out and buy notes to …

[DD] Brazil is a Black Hole

February 28, 2020 6:44 pm

by shadymechanic TLDR: The Coronavirus situation in Brazil is not fully appreciated. I believe markets are underestimating the spread of the Coronavirus in Brazil, and I believe the “smart money” is chasing this hypothesis. Global Coronavirus heatmaps indicate Brazil has …

Signs of a bottom – what to look for and consider.

February 28, 2020 1:15 pm

by ControlPlusZ Looking for a bottom? Try grinder. Looking for THE bottom? No one knows for sure. But consider the following data: Past outbreaks over 20 years have seen SP 500 down from 6-13% (we are in the middle of …

The Fed sees an opportunity to deflate the bubble they created without taking responsibility for starting the meltdown?

February 28, 2020 1:13 pm

https://twitter.com/matrbk/status/1233394799597834240 Hartnett:*Risk of credit event surging…extreme bond ETF volumes (HYG), ominous breakdown in LL ETF, CDS widening; exogenous shocks often expose bad leverage (e.g. Kobe earthquake led to Barings, Asia crisis…LTCM); liquidation of $1tn annualized bond inflows exposing..1/2 pic.twitter.com/UVbUeDjA4U — …

Friday STOCK MARKET DOOM watch- Circuit Breaker Targets

February 28, 2020 8:59 am

Basics: The NYSE opens at 9:30 am EST and closes at 4:00 pm The most reported and most followed is the DOW Ind. Average. The DOW closed at 25,766.64 Yesterday If the markets plunge to certain levels, trading will be …

Question of the Day: Does Powell have the constitution to defy markets in less than three weeks time?

February 27, 2020 11:41 am

Question of the Day: Does Powell have the constitution to defy markets in less than three weeks time? https://t.co/6A0NmVLNmP — Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) February 27, 2020 “It’s clear that the policy makers at the Fed have decided to maintain …

Just a Corona Correction?

February 26, 2020 6:48 pm

By Harry Dent The markets on crack have largely ignored the coronavirus, which obviously could be a potential game changer. And now they react, down 2,600 points on the Dow, as soon as it hits a “white toast” country like Italy. Yes, …

Usually the worst credit mistakes are made after the Yield Curve Inverts. Blow Off Tops apply max pressure on value investors. Is This Time Different?

February 26, 2020 6:16 pm

The fact that IFRS books it as “Equity” should be a dead giveaway. $DB Leverage actually increased to 36x tangible equity ex DTAs in 4Q19. — PlungeProtectionTeam (@gamesblazer06) February 26, 2020 Stop me if you’ve head this before: The 30 …

No fear for GROWTH stocks

February 26, 2020 5:57 pm

by WSBConsensus So what did investors do during the past 2 day sell-off? Bought Growth. If you look at the complexion of the flow, the continued outperformance of Momentum (+121bps) and subsequent underperformance of Value (-86bps) ultimately underscored that rotational …

Don’t buy the dip

February 26, 2020 10:33 am

by DiffManyFold Take a look at the US Yield Curve right now. It’s completely under water. All yields below 2%. i.e. below inflation. i.e. basically negative. Investors are losing money just to make sure their money is in a safe place.https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd02y?countrycode=bx I’m …

Amarin (AMRN) 2/25/2020 AMC – Profit collect later PLEASE

February 25, 2020 7:24 pm

by HITLERMAHJONG Stock: AMARIN (AMRN) Direction: Bullish Price Target: 20$, 22$ Type: Put Credit Spread Fundamental: Amarin is currently off a slow decline due several weaknesses, most prominent being its patent lawsuit against 2 other companies. This can hurt their profitability and market share, …

Trader: No Sign Of A Stock Market Crash, Stocks Close To “Buy Zone”

February 25, 2020 7:02 pm

by Graham Summers of Gains, Pains, & Capital The market got hit yesterday in a big way, but the selling was well contained. Traders have become way too conditioned to the market doing nothing but going up. As a result, we are in the ridiculous state …

Chris Vermeulen: STOCK MARKET WATERFALL EVENT STARTED, OR IS THIS A BUYING OPPORTUNITY?

February 25, 2020 6:47 pm

by Chris Vermeulen of The Technical Traders Over the past 5+ days, a very clear change in market direction has taken place in the US and global markets. Prior to this, the US markets were reacting to Q4 earnings data and minimizing the …

Fund Manager: Gold Signaling A Financial System Disaster Will Hit

February 25, 2020 10:44 am

by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics And it’s not just gold. The Fed is already hinting that more money printing is coming. Powell suggested at his semi-annual Congressional testimony that QE would be used in the next recession. A couple other Fed …

The economy will tank worse than you think and here’s why

February 25, 2020 9:58 am

by ButtsOfficial F*ck Trump’s bullshit tweet. Obviously beervirus is safe in America. We’re not dumb who don’t wash our hands. But this ain’t mean we looking at green all week boys. Living in South Korea at the moment, I’m 100% jumping …

S&P 500: this is the 26th correction >5% since the March 2009 low. They all seemed like the end of the world at the time

February 25, 2020 9:50 am

by WSBConsensus

Picking stocks based on personal consumption

February 25, 2020 9:46 am

by MrGraeme The other day someone mentioned to me that I was a bit frugal. That got me thinking about the relationship between my personal consumption and investment. I wondered whether it would be a good idea to invest in …

DD TOOL: Python Unusual Activity Screener

February 25, 2020 9:43 am

by gigantoir This is something I’ve seen on everyone’s wishlist for a while but no one ever stepped up to code it really. Well merry Christmas tards because it was fucking easy. You can view, run and download the notebook here and …

SocGen Says Coronavirus Impact May Affect Entire Year

February 25, 2020 9:04 amFebruary 24, 2020 8:35 am

SocGen Says Coronavirus Impact May Affect Entire Year — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) February 24, 2020 #Shanghai employees unable to pay home loans on time due to the #coronavirus will not be counted as loan defaults from Feb to Jun: officials from …

One thing we all need to think through is the effect of the global slowdown on US corporate cash flows, hence their desire/ability to buy back shares as cash flows go negative. If that bid goes, there is no bid.

February 23, 2020 6:30 pm

One thing we all need to think through is the effect of the global slowdown on US corporate cash flows, hence their desire/ability to buy back shares as cash flows go negative. If that bid goes, there is no bid. …

Coronavirus COMPARED TO OTHER Virus OUTBREAKS – YOU might want to SEE THIS

February 25, 2020 9:04 amFebruary 22, 2020 10:19 pm

THIS IS INSANE! Coronavirus compared to other virus outbreaks! https://youtu.be/c3GU72KcMNg New coronavirus cases show NO LINK TO CHINA??? | DW News Rampant corruption within the United Nations World Health Organization (WHO) is putting lives at risk during the deadly coronavirus …

TSLA Setting Up for Another Breakout

February 22, 2020 9:38 pm

by Separate-Variation Look, I get TA gets a bad rap here. Anyone can draw lines and call it TA. A few things stand out when you use multiple overlaying indicators and studies. These become more pronounced when you see algorithms …

How Carvana could rise to $250

February 22, 2020 2:05 pm

by InterestingNews1 Carvana’s stock price is up 40% from January lows as shorts look for cover ahead of Wednesday’s earnings update. But its $16.7bn valuation is just 5x revenues which is not expensive for a company growing consistently at 100%. …