180.6% market cap vs GDP.
Congrats @federalreserve for fueling the biggest financial bubble in our time.
When it bursts we know who to hold to account. pic.twitter.com/W8vHzijH4D
— Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) August 25, 2020
History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes. pic.twitter.com/2fzhclko6b
— Kevin C. Smith, CFA (@crescatkevin) August 25, 2020
If the housing market is booming, why is the Fed still buying record amounts of mortgage backed securities?
Their MBS holdings just hit record levels again. pic.twitter.com/h6WaSlAHrB
— Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) August 25, 2020
— Ronnie Stoeferle (@RonStoeferle) August 25, 2020
Why Powell sees inflation (1/3)
Velocity of money = Change in GDP/Change in M2
The Fed is pumping in money but it’s not hitting GDP because:
1) people are not spending money choosing to invest and save
2) banks are not lending
How can the Fed change this?
— Anil (@anilvohra69) August 25, 2020
#Money stopped flowing
— jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) August 25, 2020
Different this time? pic.twitter.com/UKLgqfmKAB
— D.Schrottenbaum, CFA (@David_Schro) August 25, 2020
— 𝕮𝖍𝖎 🛢️ (@chigrl) August 25, 2020
you will not enjoy this. pic.twitter.com/6lKLrkyTWo
— TheBigMunchkin (@TheBigMunchkin) August 24, 2020
While equities rally to new highs, U.S. real yields have stayed deeply negative, especially in the shorter-term. Inflation-adjusted 2-year & 5-year rates remain at around negative 1.2% & 1.3% respectively. pic.twitter.com/kB9CnrkdEr
— Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) August 25, 2020
High yield defaults by rating pic.twitter.com/JCJz99OPDt
— Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) August 25, 2020
History will remember Paul Volcker and Jerome Powell as standing on the opposite ends of the inflation canyon, with the former taking desperate actions to try to tamp it down and the latter expected this week to announce an unprecedented effort to crank it back up.