Short Sellers Squeeze
Most-shorted stocks lead market, jumping almost 6% as a group@markets pic.twitter.com/4CjQys1np0
— Mo Hossain (@MoHossain) October 4, 2022
Goldman Sachs, $GS: A weaker economy “will drive households to continue selling stocks… We expect households to sell $100 billion in equities in 2023.”
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) October 3, 2022
JUST IN – U.S. job openings fell sharply in August — the biggest monthly drop since April 2020. pic.twitter.com/p9hdqsQhhc
— Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) October 4, 2022
Meanwhile global bonds/equities enjoy this short term relief triggered by BOE, US 3m t-bills yield touched a new high pic.twitter.com/qS8KHNcqkj
— 🅰🅻🅴🆂🆂🅸🅾 (@AlessioUrban) October 4, 2022
I’ll just let these data speak for themselves.@SoberLook @indeed pic.twitter.com/skdxz39JUR
— Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) October 4, 2022
Wall Street Sees S&P 500 Falling Further After Bear-Market Bounce
HSBC cuts S&P 500 year-end price target to 3,500 from 4,450 Credit Suisse, Goldman Sachs also lower targets for the index
Some of Wall Street’s biggest banks aren’t buying this stock-market rally.
Firms from HSBC Holdings Plc to Credit Suisse Group AG are skeptical that the S&P 500 Index has reached its ultimate low and warning that US equity prices still don’t fully reflect the risks of higher interest rates on earnings and valuations. Aggressive tightening by the Federal Reserve in an attempt to fight the hottest US inflation in four decades can do further damage to corporate bottom lines and, in turn, share prices, according to HSBC.
On Tuesday, the bank joined other skeptics, including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Bank of America Corp., in revising its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 3,500 from 4,450 in 2022, which implies a drop of nearly 5% from Monday’s close. It argues that a shift in the outlook for higher borrowing costs will weigh on valuations for US equities.
Valuation risks for the benchmark index “will persist well into 2023, and most downside in the coming months will come from slowing profitability,” which threatens to push the S&P 500 as low as 3,200 in the fourth quarter, according to Max Kettner, HSBC’s chief multi-asset strategist. That puts the firm’s year-end target below the average of 4,346 in the last Bloomberg survey conducted in mid-September.
This chart is the UK, but similar for most G7 economies. Something broke during the 2008 GFC. It seems central banks stupidly loose monetary policies in the 2000s ended up wrecking the global economy. And they still are at it, causing chaos! When will they be held accountable? pic.twitter.com/jnNZ7n2SYi
— Albert Edwards (@albertedwards99) October 4, 2022