It seems like the Democrats are pulling away vs the GOP closing the gap…

Some of these numbers are mind boggling.

It seems like the Democrats are pulling away vs the GOP closing the gap as we approach Election Day.

Kansas hasn’t had a Democratic Senator since 1932. https://t.co/8D3bYGb8Mq

— QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) November 3, 2026

Reuters/Ipsos: Democratic lead narrows from 11 points to 8
https://www.reuters.com/world/trump-approval-near-record-low-ahead-elections-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2026-11-02/
Democrats lead 46% to 38% among registered voters, down from an 11-point advantage the previous week. Trump’s approval remains at 32%. Half of independent voters said their congressional vote was against Trump, compared with 13% who said it was for him. Republicans are recovering some ground, but independents remain a problem for the GOP.

Silver Bulletin: Republican support is finally rising alongside Democratic support
https://www.natesilver.net/p/whos-ahead-on-the-generic-congressional
Democrats’ lead slipped from a cycle-high 9.2 points to 8.9 points. Silver Bulletin specifically notes that Republican support is now ticking up too. This is the kind of movement worth watching because it suggests the Democratic advantage may have stopped expanding.

On Point polling average still shows Democrats ahead by nearly 12 points
https://onpointpolitics.us/polls/generic-ballot
Its average of 369 polls puts Democrats at 53.4% and Republicans at 41.5%. The average actually shows the Democratic lead increasing by 1.1 points over the previous 30 days. This is a different picture from the narrowing Reuters poll.

Rasmussen’s final generic ballot gives Democrats a smaller six-point lead
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot_nov02
Rasmussen’s final survey puts Democrats at 49% and Republicans at 43% among likely voters. That’s a much tighter race than the On Point average suggests. Different polling methods and samples are producing noticeably different readings.