Investment Watch Blog

This is different from 2016 in so many ways when we were last at this kind of technical level:1) Draghi took proactive coordination off the table today. 2) Fed is already doing QT. Pausing doesn’t stop that. 3) BoJ already blew their bazooka. 4) China fundamentals are weaker. — Paranoid Bull (@paranoidbull) December 14, 2018 … Read more

The U.S. stock market has been been gapping up on the open and selling off later in the day recently. Go here to understand our fundamentals-driven long term outlook. Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable medium term direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on … Read more

YouTube/BenSwann, Released on 12/13/18 The Yellow Vest protests in France have only received a small amount of media coverage in the U.S. and there may be good reason for it. Is the fact that these protests began over a Carbon Fuel Tax and have spread to general dissatisfaction with big government caused mainstream media to … Read more

wow $4700 destroyed the Hillary campaign! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pq7RL-P7-QY&feature=share&fbclid=IwAR1BhHORxCNTGQIhC0ZE-_WfWRtLy1cesiWG6CpF0K9kHW5m2UgJE9IFz2A   You can’t make this stuff up. “Does Google now know the full extent to which its online platforms were exploited by Russian actors in the election two years ago?” Rep. Jerry Nadler, a Democrat from New York and ranking member of the House Judiciary Committee, asked the search engine’s chief executive during Tuesday’s hearing. … Read more

by John Rubino I thought I’d seen all the “Peter Schiff Was Right” videos, but just stumbled onto this 2006 CNBC classic pitting Schiff against a new cast of (in retrospect) clueless antagonists, including a “chief economist” with some quaintly credulous ideas. This was the peak of the subprime mortgage mania, so the Bubblevision talking … Read more

by Michael Snyder https://youtu.be/sodyRRM4s3g Is it appropriate for a pastor to buy a $200,000 Lamborghini for his wife?  When news came out that Greenville pastor John Gray had given his wife a Lamborghini sports utility vehicle for their eighth anniversary, there was an explosion of outrage.  In response, Gray posted a video in which he unapologetically refused … Read more

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, http://www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter The price of rising interest rates. The FDIC just released the aggregated third-quarter performance metrics of the 5,477 banks and thrifts it insures. The amount of their combined assets ticked up to $17.7 trillion. These assets – mostly loans but also investments of all kinds – include $3.6 trillion in securities (not including … Read more

by David Haggith If we don’t beat the establishment before the next downturn, we’re going to see the same bailouts and money printing we’ve seen before but on a deliriously insane level. This is not me being a permabear. In fact, when the stock market didn’t plunge in the early summer as I predicted it would, … Read more

by Hubert Moolman of HubertMoolman.wordpress.com Previously, I have shown how we could be close to major financial crisis with the monetary system at the center. The following chart that shows the ratio of gold to the monetary base was used: The chart shows the ratio of the gold price to the St. Louis Adjusted Monetary Base back to … Read more

via @EconguyRosie: In one of the most ridiculous comments I have heard all year long, a CNBC guest this morning actually told viewers that households are under invested in equities. It seems to me that the data would suggest the opposite and the wonderful thing about charts is that they don’t lie.   2008:    

John Rubino interviewed on Reluctant Preppers “The closer we are to danger, the farther we are from harm.” ~ JRR Tolkien What are the real reasons we should suspect that our financial lives are not as we are being told? And who will be the winners and losers when it all comes falling down? John Rubino, the … Read more

via visualcapitalist: Innovation can be a major competitive advantage for any developed economy. However, achieving a sustainable rate of innovation isn’t necessarily a straightforward exercise. The reality is that innovation is a complex and difficult outcome to measure, and there are many different variables that factor into it at a national level. Research and development (R&D) … Read more

Consumers plan big holiday spending despite drop in economic optimism from CNBC. via CNBC: The percentage of Americans viewing the economy as excellent or good dropped 8 points to 50 percent, according to the latest CNBC All-America Economic survey. Those believing the economy will improve dropped 5 points to 31 percent, bringing it back down … Read more