India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2 – 8:30 AM IST May 16 2020
Pre-cyclone Watch for West Bengal and North Odisha coasts (Yellow Message)
At 3:00 AM UTC, the depression over southeastern Bay of Bengal and neighborhood moved northwestwards with a speed of 20 km/h during past 3 hours and lays centered near 10.7N 86.5E, about 1060 km south of Paradip (Odisha), 1220 km south southwest of Digha (West Bengal) and 1310 km south southwest of Khepupara (Bangladesh).
It is very likely to intensify rapidly into a cyclonic storm during next 12 hours and further into a severe cyclonic storm during subsequent 24 hours. It is very likely to move north northwestwards initially till May 17th and then re-curve north northeastwards across northwest Bay of Bengal towards West Bengal coast during May 18-20th.
What's likely to become major #cyclone is brewing in #BayofBengal. New satellite images suggest it's already stronger than official estimates. Cyclone will move NNE & is likely to strike state of #WestBengal #India (pink) or #Bangladesh (yellow) Wednesday—& it could be intense. pic.twitter.com/jqnJN2e27J
— Josh Morgerman (@iCyclone) May 16, 2020
Massive area of convective storms to wrap up on Saturday to become Cyclone #Amphan
GFS model rapidly intensifies to Category 2 in 24-hours.
Storm heads north to coast by Wednesday. pic.twitter.com/49Z0fK8hvP
— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) May 16, 2020