Sports Betting for Profit? The Odds Are Long

By Rodney Johnson

The Supreme Court recently ruled that states have the right to regulate sports betting, opening the door for such activity in every state.

Chances are, your state officials are burning the midnight oil developing regulations for sports betting because they want the tax revenue.

After all, Pew Trusts estimates the industry could become a $41 billion industry, contributing $3.4 billion to state and local taxes.

That sounds great, but we have to put it in perspective.

If sports betting contributed that much to tax revenue, it would still be less than half of one percent of tax revenue collected, which doesn’t sound like much of a victory for all the hassle that will go with it.

And who wins at sports betting, anyway? I’ll give you a hint: It’s not you.

Bookies, legal or illegal, are the winners, in much the same way that brokerage firms are the winners in the financial world.

On sports, gambling houses establish the line, or the point spread, that they believe will entice gamblers to place equal bets on both teams.

The bookie then charges a sort of interest or carry cost (think of it as a transaction fee) on losers.

If it works out, the gambling house doesn’t care who wins or loses. It still earns the fee.

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As for individual sports gamblers, they have a better chance than people playing the slots, but the odds are still stacked against us. We only win 48% of our sports bets, which makes it a losing proposition.

Maybe it’s because we fall in love with our alma mater, or simply can’t stand an opposing quarterback. Or perhaps we don’t do enough research.

Whatever the reason, we shouldn’t count on the recent Supreme Court ruling as a way to increase our income.

For that we need smarter strategies, with much higher win rates, but recent trends in the financial markets have made this much harder.

For almost nine years you could win the investment game by owning stocks, bonds, or a combination.

Sure, the markets didn’t go straight up (remember the scare of the summer of 2011!), and bond yields didn’t go straight down (taper tantrum, anyone?).

But, in general, equities climbed as yields dipped, so bond prices also moved higher. As fixed income investors we didn’t earn much money, but we made a bit on capital appreciation.

The easy days are over.

The Dow is negative for the year as I write this, and the 10-year Treasury yield is sitting above 3%.

Today the markets feel like we could lose on both fronts as equities waver and bond prices slip. That could make investing harder than sports betting!

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But there are ways to earn income without taking excessive risk. We have a number of such strategies in place at Dent Research already, and we’re excited to introduce one more featuring Lee Lowell.

For many years Lee has helped investors bank consistent income, all the while keeping a weather eye for risk.

Any investment includes the possibility of some loss. The key is how you manage that risk.

In a testament to his abilities, Lee has been able to generate consistent profits for almost a decade without a single losing position. It sounds crazy until you see how he did it.

If you’re looking for an income strategy, but you’re worried about the current markets – and don’t think you’ll make enough income betting on sports – then tune in to Lee’s Instant Income Secret presentation to see if his approach is right for you.

His presentation is next Tuesday, May 29, at 1 p.m. ET. Just go to then to watch, no registration needed.

And, in the meantime, you can read and see more from Lee at the site right now about what to expect.


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