by Chris Kimble When Doc Copper speaks, investors should listen. And it may be that time again. The price of copper broke above the $4 mark early this year… but it’s struggled to maintain its momentum and is in a multi-month pullback. …
by jessefelder Back in October I suggested investors had probably gotten too bearish on the banks. Since then these boring, old, nocoiner institutions have dramatically outperformed the broader stock market. Hell, Wells Fargo has more than doubled in price over just the past seven months. But, …
by Troy With the S&P at new highs this week, traders are generally divided into 2 camps: Those who think that December 2018 was a major bottom and the bull market still has years left (FOMO). Those who think that …
BY JOHN RUBINO Early 2019 looked like a great set-up for gold, but failed to live up to its billing. A nice December-through-March run took the price back to the $1,350 resistance that had repelled it four times in the past five …
by Troy The stock market ends a shortened weak near all-time highs. Today’s post will highlight several short term bearish factors. Go here to understand our fundamentals-driven long term outlook. Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable medium term direction by …
🎩Warren Buffet Indicator>Signals Bearish bias.Have Uheard from him?👂Tks once again @CoryLVenable @ThePitBoss16 @TradersCom @Lizardjb3 @OccupyWisdom @hks55 @SpeculaThor @mgftzgd @LordPolemos @StockBoardAsset @TaviCosta @EconGlobal @Analyst_G @Simple_Trends @PMack1224 @mcm_ct pic.twitter.com/ntcCjfntcV — Antonio Pérez-Algás (@apanalis) April 13, 2019
by Troy The U.S. stock market has rallied significantly over the past 3.5 months. But do you know what’s rallied even more? JNK, or more colloquially known as JUNK. (JNK = junk bond ETF). Junk bonds often move in the …
by Kimble Charting The Euro has been on a roller coaster ride over the past several years. The direction has been mostly lower but the Euro is trying to firm up here. And the bulls desperately need to see some upside traction! …
via Andres Cardenal, CFA Summary Nobody can predict bull and bear markets, but some indicators do a sound job at providing capital protection during bear markets. The stock and bond markets are interconnected, and we can learn a lot about the …
$SPX So if today was the trading cycle low let’s discuss what that means. 1) Average trading cycle is 30-40 days from low to low2) We are in a bear market so next low will likely be Lower.3)The key is …
by Troy Bearish sentiment in the stock market is at an extreme right now. For example, the Put/Call Ratio is at its highest level ever. During such times, the stock market can go down more in the short term (when …
by Kimble Charting The Wilshire 5000 is a must-follow stock market index that measures the market in its broadest form. So when this index flashes caution, it’s best that investors pay attention. For the past 30 years, the Wilshire 5000 has traded within a …
by Troy Last week’s market outlook was not clearly explained, so I would like to clarify. Our models have not yet turned long term bearish, although they are getting close to turning long term bearish. But while building new and better models like …
by Troy Our new Macro Investing Index is described as: As we’ve demonstrated repeatedly here at Bull Markets, leading economic indicators are also long term leading indicators for the stock market because the stock market and the economy move in …
by Chris Kimble Could interest rates be peaking after moving much higher over the past 5-years? Yes! Joe Friday shares that the yield on the 5-year note, looks like it created an important topping pattern last month. This chart looks at …
by Charles Hugh-Smith This systemic vulnerability is largely invisible, and so the inevitable contagion will surprise most observers and participants. The conventional definition of a Bear is someone who expects stocks to decline. For those of us who are bearish on fake …
by Kimble Charting This chart looks at Junk Bond Fund (PHDAX) and the S&P 500 over the past 25-years. Junk bonds sent bearish messages “before stocks peaked in 2000 & 2007.” Bearish divergences took place for 24-months in 2000 and 7-months in 2007, …
US crude #oil inventory report was quite bearish, with biggest weekly stockpile increase since early 2017@EIAgov @Investingcom @SoberLook pic.twitter.com/T8TShDeJSs — Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) November 17, 2018 Home builders dropping prices #JohnBurnsRealEstateConsulting @SoberLook pic.twitter.com/HTxyS1vyHX — Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) November …
via Yahoo: Fund managers haven’t been this bearish about the global economy’s outlook since November 2008, according to the latest Bank of America Lynch survey of global fund managers, an important measure of investor sentiment. According to the survey, 44% …
by Kimble Charting CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE This 4-pack looks at the DJ Home Construction, Banks, Junk Bonds and the S&P 500, highlighting that bearish divergences took place in 1999 and 2007 at each (1). These assets were sending bearish …
by Troy The U.S. stock market’s daily volatility is high, with large intraday swings. Here’s the S&P 500. Let’s analyze the stock market’s price action by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going …
by Kimble Charting Over the past several weeks, I’ve shared several examples of key stock market indexes and indicators hitting long-term resistance. Today, we’ll do the same… but with a much wider lens. We’ll look at 9 different stock market indexes in …
via Luke Kawa Pessimism on the global economy is piling up amid rising trade tensions and expectations the U.S. central bank will carry on tightening despite the tumult in equity markets. Fund managers surveyed by Bank of America Merrill Lynch this …
Rob Kirby interviewed on Reluctant Preppers Widely followed proprietary analyst & founder of KirbyAnalytics.com, Rob Kirby, returns to Reluctant Preppers to lay out the case why he is gravely concerned about extreme near-term risk in the equity & debt markets. Kirby also …
by tptelly I am wondering if someone can lay out the bullish case and/or dispute my current and personal view of the current market conditions as I see it. Not looking to push my opinions, rather to let me know …
by Kimble Charting We did an earlier chart reflecting that home builders are diverging similar to 2007. Housing is a critical component to the economy and stock market, as we found out a decade ago. And unfortunately, current housing market concerns don’t end …
via Erin Swenlin There were some new developments on the 20-year Bond ETF (TLT) that are tipping the scales bearish. We were already noticing some problems for Bonds in general, but volatile trading had made it difficult to decipher. Today there is …
by FS The following is a summary of our interview with Felix Zulauf, Founder and President at Zulauf Asset Management AG, which can be listened to on our site here or on iTunes here. After a pretty strong rally this year, the US dollar …
by SpicyMussolini For the past nine years, the equities market has seen one of the best percent gains since the Bull Market of 1948-1969. Corporate taxes are low, GDP growth is strong, and joblessness well below the Natural Rate of …
