Spreading the truth. Empowering the people.
by Michael Markowski The statistical crash probability analysis (SCPA) algorithm’s forecast for an interim market bottom to occur on March 23, 2020, was precisely accurate. It was the algo’s third consecutive precise … Read more
h/t DontMicrowaveCats
by kyrychenko17roman Created using VAR model from vars R-package and ggplot2. You can find approach description here – randomforest.run/posts/var-time-series-analysis-using-r/ Data collected using trendyy package from Goggle trends.
via upfina: Amid the volatile trading action and news on the trade war, let’s step back and recognize the stock market has been in a long consolidation phase for about a … Read more
by Martin Armstrong QUESTION: There are a number of people who claim to have called the 2008 crash. What I find absent is that there is no one who brags on … Read more
via visualcapitalist: According to Accenture, millennials are set to inherit the biggest wealth transfer in history, amounting to an estimated $30 trillion over the course of 30 to 40 years. While it’s hard … Read more
by Martin Armstrong COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I believe I understand your criticism about analysis. Whatever trend is in motion people assume will remain in motion. This is dangerous in managing a … Read more
via RecessionAlert.com There is a lot of focus on the U.S. yield curve at the moment given its relentless move toward inversion (when short-term rates are higher than long-term rates). Can … Read more
lot of big desks already forecasting global slowdown b/c of trade war — this will reprice US assets in the coming quarters. we are positioned for it pic.twitter.com/0h37FswNep — Alastair … Read more
via Guggenheim It has been six months since we published Forecasting the Next Recession, which laid out the analytical basis for expecting the next recession to begin in the late-2019 to early-2020 … Read more
All bobbles are pined to the bond market. Forget all other markets the story is told by the bond market. And it’s in a bobble the world has never seen … Read more
by Spencer P Morrison, NEE Why America’s Trade Deficit Will be at the Heart of the Next Economic Collapse Ask ten physicists a question about physics and you will get one … Read more