When is Forecasting Not Forecasting?
by Martin Armstrong QUESTION: There are a number of people who claim to have called the 2008 crash. What I find absent is that there is no one who brags on … Read more
forecasting
Forecasting the Investing Habits of the Millennial Generation
via visualcapitalist: According to Accenture, millennials are set to inherit the biggest wealth transfer in history, amounting to an estimated $30 trillion over the course of 30 to 40 years. While it’s hard … Read more
Forecasting Whatever Trend is in Motion Will Remain in Motion is Standard
by Martin Armstrong COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I believe I understand your criticism about analysis. Whatever trend is in motion people assume will remain in motion. This is dangerous in managing a … Read more
Yield Curve Forecasting 2020 Recession
via RecessionAlert.com There is a lot of focus on the U.S. yield curve at the moment given its relentless move toward inversion (when short-term rates are higher than long-term rates). Can … Read more
Lot of big desks already forecasting global slowdown, professionals heading to exits bigtime now…
lot of big desks already forecasting global slowdown b/c of trade war — this will reprice US assets in the coming quarters. we are positioned for it pic.twitter.com/0h37FswNep — Alastair … Read more
Forecasting The Next Recession: Updating Our Outlook For Recession Timing
via Guggenheim It has been six months since we published Forecasting the Next Recession, which laid out the analytical basis for expecting the next recession to begin in the late-2019 to early-2020 … Read more
Peter Schiff Forecasting a Severe Depression Are You Ready
All bobbles are pined to the bond market. Forget all other markets the story is told by the bond market. And it’s in a bobble the world has never seen … Read more
Trade Deficits, Debt-Fragility & Seismology: Forecasting The Next Economic Collapse
by Spencer P Morrison, NEE Why America’s Trade Deficit Will be at the Heart of the Next Economic Collapse Ask ten physicists a question about physics and you will get one … Read more