Spreading the truth. Empowering the people.
US: Probability of a recession 6 months ahead. Activity augmented yield curve model: 53% – @SoberLook @OxfordEconomics @jemcrobie pic.twitter.com/qfIZqADUAR — Rob Hager (@Rob_Hager) August 15, 2019 Chart (@TheTerminal): Market pricing … Read more
by confoundedinterest I remember when a Chief Economist at a large Washington DC area housing finance entity said that the definition of a house price bubble is when house price growth … Read more
via mishtalk: The New York Fed has the odds of a recession within the next year at 33%. Some of the other models are humorous. New York Fed Treasury Spread Model … Read more
That’s worrying because the model has been spot on with its predictions of the 2007, 2001, early nineties, early eighties recessions via Forbes: The current U.S. economic expansion turned ten-years-old … Read more
RT, Released on 6/19/19 Peter Schiff is an internationally recognized economist specializing in the foreign equity, currency and gold markets. Mr. Schiff made his name as President and Chief Global Strategist … Read more
via @dlacalle_IA: A strong and healthy economic recovery does not need further monetary stimuli. The Fed is making a big mistake by fueling the risky asset bubble and not paying attention … Read more
Global Economy Weakest Since Financial Crisis (Bloomberg) — The global economy’s sharp loss of speed through 2018 has left the pace of expansion the weakest since the global financial crisis … Read more
by Troy As the S&P 500 stalls at its 200 day moving average, recession probabilities are rising according to the New York Fed. Let’s look at what this means for … Read more
Make European recessions great again pic.twitter.com/TOiHIFVT4y — zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 24, 2019 Economist: The euro area is back on the brink of recession The euro has been an economic fiasco. … Read more
via @crossbordercap: Tightening Again … Alas Latest data show major #CentralBanks’ aggregate balance sheet shrinking 1.3% in US$ terms .US$, policy liquidity shrank by a whopping 5.4% , mostly due … Read more
by Shaun Richards Today we can continue our journey into the world of central bankers which is a cosy international club. It was hard as the New York Federal Reserve … Read more
There is a HIGH Probability, we may see a SWIFT and SEVERE drop in Indexes in coming weeks. $DJI should not cross 26278 level(for SPX 2815.15) or ST invalidated. Uncannily … Read more
by Amy S. A Department of Defense (Dod) source informs me that the reason the sunspot observatory in New Mexico has been evacuated and multiple other Solar Observatories around the world … Read more
John M. Barry interviewed by Chris Martenson on Peak Prosperity Full description and comments at: www.peakprosperity.com/podcas… As far as existential threats to the human species go, pandemics rank near the top of the list. … Read more
by David ‘When the next market correction will be’ is a very difficult, if not impossible, question to answer given the number of variables at play. In all honesty one can … Read more
by Robert Carbery A conflict in North Korea, according to U.S. Secretary of Defense James Mattis, “would be probably the worst kind of fighting in most people’s lifetimes,” he told … Read more