What an increasing recession probability means for the stock market
by Troy As the S&P 500 stalls at its 200 day moving average, recession probabilities are rising according to the New York Fed. Let’s look at what this means for … Read more
probability
NOT BULLISH: The euro area is back on the brink of recession, Japan’s exports fall, U.S. recession probability raising
Make European recessions great again pic.twitter.com/TOiHIFVT4y — zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 24, 2019 Economist: The euro area is back on the brink of recession The euro has been an economic fiasco. … Read more
Tightening Again? High Odds This Bear Market Will Last Well Into 2019. 90% probability in 2019
via @crossbordercap: Tightening Again … Alas Latest data show major #CentralBanks’ aggregate balance sheet shrinking 1.3% in US$ terms .US$, policy liquidity shrank by a whopping 5.4% , mostly due … Read more
Central banking forward guidance ignores the rules of probability
by Shaun Richards Today we can continue our journey into the world of central bankers which is a cosy international club. It was hard as the New York Federal Reserve … Read more
There is a HIGH Probability, we may see a SWIFT and SEVERE drop in Indexes in coming weeks.
There is a HIGH Probability, we may see a SWIFT and SEVERE drop in Indexes in coming weeks. $DJI should not cross 26278 level(for SPX 2815.15) or ST invalidated. Uncannily … Read more
CLAIM: 80% Probability of Planet-Wide “Carrington Event” Within Weeks; That’s why Solar Observatories Closed
by Amy S. A Department of Defense (Dod) source informs me that the reason the sunspot observatory in New Mexico has been evacuated and multiple other Solar Observatories around the world … Read more
What Is The Probability Of An Aggressive And Highly Fatal Pandemic Occurring Soon?
John M. Barry interviewed by Chris Martenson on Peak Prosperity Full description and comments at: www.peakprosperity.com/podcas… As far as existential threats to the human species go, pandemics rank near the top of the list. … Read more
Predicting the next market correction – Several countries having a high probability of crisis (China, Canada, Australia, S. Korea, Norway, Sweden and France)
by David ‘When the next market correction will be’ is a very difficult, if not impossible, question to answer given the number of variables at play. In all honesty one can … Read more
North Korea, Nukes, and the Probability of World War III
by Robert Carbery A conflict in North Korea, according to U.S. Secretary of Defense James Mattis, “would be probably the worst kind of fighting in most people’s lifetimes,” he told … Read more