US retail sales, Fed comments

by WARREN MOSLER Starting to look more like most of the rest of the world: US retail trade fell by 1.2 percent from a month earlier in December 2018, following a revised 0.1 percent growth in November and missing market …

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Every time retail sales were down 1.5% or more for the last 27 years…

https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1096118006600683520 https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1096114969417039873 Retail sales tumbling, as outlined in last fall's client warning of "Cooling Consumer Spending." See public comments from Jan: https://t.co/47RYgw4sg4 pic.twitter.com/iVjf88aSYo — Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) (@businesscycle) February 14, 2019 the "greatest economy ever" just hit a …

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US Home Sales to Get Even Uglier in Near Future

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter “It’s been dripping down, down, down. Frustrating that the housing market is not recovering”: National Association of Realtors What will home sales look like in January and February? Very, very lousy, according to pending home sales, …

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Existing home sales, Trade, BOJ

by WARREN MOSLER Bad: Highlights Mortgage rates began to move down in December but it wasn’t soon enough to help the month’s resales. Existing home sales fell a sharper-than-expected 6.4 percent to a 4.990 million annualized rate that is the …

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US Home Sales Get Uglier

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter But these are still the good times. Don’t blame the December debacle on the partial government shutdown – it “has not had a significant effect on December closings,” the National Association of Realtors explained in its report this …

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What’s the deal with retailers — and retail sales?

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter This is on purpose. Macy’s is not alone. Other department stores and brick-and-mortar retailers are into this too, at least the ones that haven’t filed for bankruptcy yet. So we’ll take a look (11 minutes):  

Looking at stock valuations as a multiple of sales, the U.S. reached a level of overvaluation last January only seen once before in the last three decades — during the dot-com bubble of 1999 and 2000

via Bloomberg:   hat just happened? I last wrote one of these newsletters on Dec. 20, the day after the last Federal Reserve monetary meeting. (More on my disappearance later in this commentary.) Since that date, stocks have staged a spectacular decline worldwide, …

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