Most major stock market moves catch the majority of investors by surprise. Sometimes, there is “no time to get out.” Take a look at these two charts. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t8A9w0B3xkw
In a report published Thursday by PlainSite, an independent research shop led by Aaron Greenspan, analysts calculated that Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg has been regularly lying to investors and the public about the company’s user metrics, and that the company …
by Troy With the stock market stuck at its 50% fibonacci retracement, many traders are looking for a pullback/retest. While the Q4 2018 stock market decline coincided with a flat U.S. Dollar, there’s a high probability that the next pullback/retest …
by spontaneousdisorder I thought I’d briefly point out a couple of sentiment indicators. The markets got oversold about a month ago but a sharp rally has already worked off that condition. The daily sentiment index has already reached 73% in …
by Graham Summers of Gains, Pains, & Capital The market rig is now over. The pundits on TV attributed last week’s rally to “investors” buying stocks based on perceived “value,” but the reality is that it was a desperate market rig by Wall …
by Jim Quinn Notice that all Central Banks were reducing their balance sheets in 2018. Result: declining stock markets across the globe. Look what has happened in the last three weeks. Central Banks have printed $250 billion of fiat currency …
by Troy The S&P has now retraced more than 50%, which was the standard post-crash target outlined a few weeks ago. The stock market is exactly where it was a few months ago. This demonstrates the stock market’s “bullish bias” …
via MarketWatch: Russell 2000 is up 8.8% in the first 12 sessions of 2019 Much has been made about the performance of stocks so far in 2019. Small-cap stocks, as gauged by the Russell 2000 index RUT, +1.04% , are off to their …
via hussmanfunds: While we don’t presently observe conditions to look for a ‘buying opportunity’ or a ‘bottom’ from a full-cycle standpoint, we do observe conditions that are permissive of a scorching market rebound, even if it only turns out to be …
by Graham Summers of Gains, Pains, & Capital This week is options expiration week… Wall Street’s favorite time to ramp the markets in order to insure the maximum number of options contracts expire worthless. THIS, nothing else, is why the markets rallied this …
Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter Wow, that was fast. Margin calls. During the ugly stock-market December, whose ugliness bottomed out on Christmas Eve, a nasty November, and the ugliest October anyone can remember, margin debt plunged by a combined $93.8 billion, …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics The post-Christmas stock rally extended through Wednesday as the small-cap and tech stocks led the way, with the Russell 2000 up 14.3% and the Nasdaq up 12.5%. The SPX and Dow are up 10.4% and 10.1% …
by Troy Now that the S&P 500 has reached its 50% fibonacci retracement, its medium term outlook is no longer decisively bullish. As we mentioned before, 13 of 15 historical 20% declines saw a pullback/retest after a 50% retracement. Go here to understand …
via Yahoo: Get out while you can. In a note to clients, analysts at Credit Suisse (CS) said they still expect 5% upside for the key global markets, but “advise selling developed markets into the rally rather than continuing to build positions.” …
by Kimble Charting The Value Line Geometric Index tends to give investors a good idea of the health of the overall market. It is an equal-weighted index with a broad swath of stocks that gives investors an idea of how the “average stock” is …
https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1085598670408552448 https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1085630001624403968 $GS Monthly #Update pic.twitter.com/SuA0fJXMvS — HiddenPivots (@HiddenPivots) January 16, 2019 https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1085565195366354944 The credit cycle looks something like this. We’ve basically been stuck in Phase 3 since 2015, though there was a mini rebellion in energy credit in early-2016. …
by jessefelder “For the investor, a too-high purchase price for the stock of an excellent company can undo the effects of a subsequent decade of favorable business developments.” -Warren Buffett “My greatest discovery was that a man must study general …
by Troy The U.S. stock market has done well throughout the first half of January 2019. With earnings season just ahead and the stock market under its 200 day moving average, the high probability of a pullback/retest remains. Go here to …
Was the drop a DEAD CAT BOUNCE? Or is this the right time to BUY THE DIP? The U.S. stock market briefly fell into a bear market or just about, depending on which you look at. Globally, stocks have come …
via MSN: 1772: The Credit Crisis British creditors had allowed southern colonies to flourish; Colonials did not have enough liquid assets to pay them back. 1792: The Panic of 1792 First Bank of the United States had been overextending credit …
via mishtalk: Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital LP, has some interesting thoughts on debt, stock buybacks, and leverage. Please consider Gundlach’s Slideshow on Debt Financed Buybacks. Corporate Credit as Percentage of GDP Investment Grade Has Shorter Maturity Than High Yield …
TradersChoice.net, Released on 1/10/19 Gregory Mannarino started his financial career working for the securities and trading arm of the now defunct Bear Stearns before the dot-com bubble. He is an active trader of the capital markets and has published several …
via Bloomberg: hat just happened? I last wrote one of these newsletters on Dec. 20, the day after the last Federal Reserve monetary meeting. (More on my disappearance later in this commentary.) Since that date, stocks have staged a spectacular decline worldwide, …
by QuantalyticsResearch US Stocks Global stocks are generally lower today, while the news from US-China talks has seemed positive, the lack of specifics today has led some to take profit after the recent strong rally The FOMC minutes released …
via mishtalk: Four Fed presidents, three of them voting members issued dovish statements today. Please consider Fed Policymakers Say Wait On Further U.S. Rate Hikes. After months of tumult in the stock market and rising speculation over a coming recession, presidents …
by Troy With the S&P rallying 4 days in a row, it is now at its 38.2-50% resistance zone and February 2018 lows resistance. Can the stock market go straight up (medium term rally) without a pullback or retest of …
CDX NA IG could be starting to bottom – this is bad for the stock market pic.twitter.com/H2EwZbr1I2 — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) January 9, 2019 CDX NA IG (inv.) versus $SPX pic.twitter.com/Qo92OOgLIY — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) January 9, 2019 CFOs around the world …
The stock market is anticipating positive news from the trade issues which have persisted and escalated throughout 2018. The hope is that the conflict will be reduced and confidence will be restored. U.S. stocks have come off their lows in …
via Lu Wang Everyone knows profit growth is poised to cool this year. But by how much? Analysts who try to answer that question by looking at signals embedded in the stock market are coming up with some worrisome numbers. Going …
by Troy As the S&P 500 makes a sharp upwards reversal towards its 38.2% fibonacci retracement, the U.S. stock market’s breadth is surging and risk-off assets (USD) are falling. This combination of extremely strong breadth and a decline in risk-off …