by Troy On a slow moving day for the U.S. stock market, today’s big news is that “Retail Sales crashed, just like in 2008/2009!!!”. Financial media jumped all over this – nothing sells like bad news. Go here to understand our …
by Brian Maher of Daily Reckoning From valley to peak in the space of one month… The bears were poised to claim final victory in late December… and black crepe was unfurling over Wall Street. The major averages lost nearly 20% …
by Graham Summers of Gains, Pains, & Capital The market is going to crash soon. How do I know? In the last 48 hours we’ve had… 1) The Trump administration suggest that a China trade deal is close if not almost complete. 2) …
So the Fed saved the day… As soon as the market realized the Fed is ready to stop its QT policy, everything changed. So let’s be very clear: NO, the market isn’t strong. On one hand you have investors and …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics I get a kick out of these billionaires and centimillionaires, like Kyle Bass yesterday, who appear on financial television to look the viewer in the eye and tell them that economy is booming. Kyle Bass doesn’t expect a …
We’re at the high end of fair market value, says Vanguard chief investment officer from CNBC. The stock market won’t keep returning the kinds of yearly gains investors have gotten used to since the financial crisis bottom in 2009, Vanguard’s …
by Troy As the S&P 500 stalls at its 200 day moving average, recession probabilities are rising according to the New York Fed. Let’s look at what this means for the stock market. Go here to understand our fundamentals-driven long …
by Graham Summers of Gains, Pains, & Capital The next leg down is officially here. The big picture story for the markets is that the US/China trade deal is no longer important. Even if the two nations did agree on a perfect deal …
by Jesse “Behind the ostensible government sits enthroned an invisible government owing no allegiance and acknowledging no responsibility to the people. To destroy this invisible government, to befoul the unholy alliance between corrupt business and corrupt politics is the first …
by jessefelder There is a growing chorus surrounding the topic of stock buybacks and whether they should be banned. Most recently, Chuck Schumer and Bernie Sanders wrote a piece for the New York Times arguing that buybacks are nothing more than corporate …
by Graham Summers of Gains, Pains, & Capital Let’s cut through the nonsense. The only reason that stocks are rallying is because investors are hoping the Fed has reinstated its policy of inflating stocks… However, HOPE is very different from reality. And the …
There are so many indicators to look at but some are more useful than others. I try to bring the indicators to you and constantly track their progress to see the trend. The RSI is an interesting one to keep …
via thefinancialcourier: The stock market has been a roller coaster since October. Equities took a nose-dive in October. They then rallied in early November. Fell again steeply in December. Finally, stocks rallied strongly in January. However, the same market forces that knocked stocks …
https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1092829883330383873 https://twitter.com/RealDavidJensen/status/1092855301055770624 $10 trillion in corporate debt will be refinanced within 2 years. And looks like nothing's changed since Dec 26. I don't understand the joy some brainless trolls are having. I made 310 handles in Dec. You took 50 …
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/03/business/dealbook/stock-market-technology.html For much of the past decade, the fate of the stock market has been tied to the performance of a handful of the largest tech companies: Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Facebook, Microsoft and Netflix led the market from one record …
Buybacks were illegal throughout most of the 20th century because they were considered a form of stock market manipulation. But in 1982, the Securities and Exchange Commission passed rule 10b-18, which created a legal process for buybacks and opened the floodgates for companies …
by Daniel Carter The last year has been an absolutely wild ride for stock prices. If you are a long-term investor, which I hope you are, there may not have been a point so turbulent to induce you to sell …
via sacbee: Nobody is happy about PG&E’s bankruptcy filing, but California’s two biggest public pension systems are positioned to absorb losses on the utility’s stock without major repercussions. That’s because the pension funds’ multi-million dollar investments in PG&E are tiny fractions of …
by Troy With the stock market rallying to its 61.8% retracement, our medium term market studies are mixed. They are no longer consistently bullish. And while the odds favor a pullback/retest right now, it is not impossible for the market …
by Troy By now everyone is aware that these “crash & rally” patterns are usually followed by a pullback or retest. Most of these pullbacks/retests occur once the S&P has reached its 50% retracement. But with the S&P now having retraced …
Josh Sigurdson talks with author and economic analyst John Sneisen about the recent advice provided by Michael Wilson, the Chief Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley. According to Wilson, people need to get out of stocks now! Their reasoning is that …
Would you Buy or Sell this stock? pic.twitter.com/wdkFzavNbG — Lawrence McDonald (@Convertbond) January 31, 2019 https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1090833079176855552 https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1090843110077276160 Meet you downstairs next week? Spoos v rates pic.twitter.com/ltEIyt84On — Teddy Vallee (@TeddyVallee) January 31, 2019 https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1090770490623447041 Credit Card Data Indicates Major Decline …
by Dave Kranzler of Investment Research Dynamics The mis-pricing of money and credit has also driven a terrible misallocation of capital and kept unproductive zombie debtors alive for too long. Saxo Bank, “Beware The Global Policy Panic” “Mis-pricing of money and credit” refers to …
TradersChoice.net, Released on 1/29/19 Gregory Mannarino started his financial career working for the securities and trading arm of the now defunct Bear Stearns before the dot-com bubble. He is an active trader of the capital markets and has published several …
via caixinglobal: China is encouraging insurance companies to invest more of their $2.65 trillion of assets in securities as part of the government’s efforts to bolster liquidity and revitalize the gloomy capital markets. The commission wants insurance institutions to use their …
Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter Since the Christmas Eve selloff-low, the S&P 500 has risen 13%, including a 5% jump on December 26. But last week, the rally petered out and stocks ended flat. And now it gets complicated, with stock-market …
by Jim Quinn About that massive stock market rally since Christmas Eve – not exactly based on fundamentals and low valuations. The ECB and PBOC were told to print like there was no tomorrow – because without liquidity flooding the …
via @TaviCosta: Well, I believe today’s market has remarkable similarities to late 1920’s.
by Troy The stock market continues to hold at its 50% retracement. This has been one of the fiercest non-stop recoveries after a 20% selloff. Will the stock market continue its V-shaped recovery? Or is a retracement imminent? We think …
by visualcapitalist If you could travel back in time to the 19th century, it would be very difficult to convince anyone that railroad investments were not the future of the stock market. Governments were offering subsidies and land grants to stimulate …