The market flipped the AI trade. Spending is now punished. Discipline is rewarded. Buffett Indicator hits all-time extreme. Oracle default risk tops Lehman levels.

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Oracle credit default swaps climbed to fresh multi year highs in late July on AI debt worries.
Meta shares dropped hard after the company raised its AI spending floor.
Microsoft posted the largest one day market value gain on record after showing real Azure growth.
Buffett Indicator readings stayed elevated near all time highs through July.
Hyperscaler debt yields and insurance costs kept rising across the board.

 

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