US confirmed vs deaths chart

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by Dave

Here’s a chart on confirmed vs deaths – with “confirmed” lagged by 7 days, just to see how they line up.  So deaths are used to set the bottom axis dates, but the confirmed timeseries dates are pushed “to the right” by 7 days.

Just thought it was interesting.  On average, a “confirmed case” takes 7 days to die?

It does seem reasonably likely that we are past peak — deaths.  We just saw a lower high and a lower low in the deaths series, and that says we have changed trend there.  Testing earlier, no overwhelm, better treatments.

Here’s the standard chart.  We just made a “higher high” in the confirmed series.


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