Second-Order Effects: The Unexpectedly Slippery Path to Dow 10,000

by Charles Hugh-Smith Dow 30,000 is “unsinkable,” just like the Titanic. A recent Barrons cover celebrating the euphoric inevitability of Dow 30,000 captured the mainstream zeitgeist perfectly: Corporate America is firing on all cylinders, the Federal Reserve’s god-like powers will push stocks higher regardless of any other reality, blah blah blah. While the financial media looked elsewhere for … Read more

Student Enrollment Dropped 11% Since 2011, Student-Loan Balances Surged 74%. Why?

What’s Behind the Screwed-Up Student Loan Fiasco? By Wolf Richter. This is the transcript from my podcast last Sunday, THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Enrollment in higher education in the United States has dropped by 11% from the peak in 2011. That’s a drop of 2.2 million students over the span of eight years, according to data from … Read more

US GDP Rose by $850 Billion in 2019 as US National Debt Surged by $1.2 Trillion. Debt-to-GDP Ratio Hit 108%

Dream of 3% economic growth remained a dream despite surge in government borrowing and spending. By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. The dreams of 3%-plus economic growth in the US remained dreams in 2019, despite tax cuts and ballooning federal government spending, which are a stimulus. But the resulting budget deficit caused the gross national debt to balloon … Read more

CreditKarma Tax instructions are incorrect for the Premium Tax Credit (1095-A) section if you have more than one 1095-A. It calculated a $10,000 refund when I should only get $5000.

by Happy_Harry​ This section of the Premium Tax Credit (1095-A form) section directs you to add the totals of all 1095-A forms together for lines 33A, 33B, and 33C. However, if you read the instructions for Form 8962, it explicitly says you are NOT supposed to add the amounts together for column B. The column B totals should … Read more

There is a major disconnect between stock prices and underlying fundamentals

There is a major disconnect between stock prices and underlying fundamentals. US economy-wide corporate profits have been in a declining growth trend and just turned negative. The same pattern led directly to past bear markets and recessions.https://t.co/pthziakG1d pic.twitter.com/4Hpn64eioF — Kevin C. Smith, CFA (@crescatkevin) January 30, 2020 Dip buyers, consider the following:https://t.co/9GuDlmurU4 Thanks for the … Read more

China’s share of global consumption today, relative to its level when SARS hit (via BCA Research)

https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1222751730003140608 https://twitter.com/ZhaoyinFeng/status/1222905683957428224 Some people in China are taking no chances when it comes to personal protection against the coronavirus outbreak pic.twitter.com/ugykY9vQzq — South China Morning Post (@SCMPNews) January 30, 2020 Our first estimate of the impact of the #Wuhan #coronavirus on Asia. Watch the travelers. @ANZ_Research https://t.co/wRRlCWTN27 — Richard Yetsenga 叶森 🇦🇺 🇭🇰 🇹🇭 🇳🇱 … Read more