IMF: Trade War Hurting Global Growth, May Cut Expectations a Second Time; “Conflict Gauge”: Dalio’s Proprietary World Stress Meter at Highest Level Since 1940s; Bloomberg: “The Bubble’s Losing Air. Get Ready for a Crisis”

Bloomberg: “The Bubble’s Losing Air. Get Ready for a Crisis” “The ‘everything bubble’ is deflating. The fact that it’s happening relatively slowly shouldn’t blind us to the real threat: The world is dangerously underestimating how hard it’ll be to deal …

READ MORE

Jan/Feb lows taken out $SPX… VIX wave 3 coming?

$VIX wave 3 coming? pic.twitter.com/PmZetGgPte — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) December 17, 2018 Final resistance pic.twitter.com/aklxpgAOpg — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) December 17, 2018 $VIX (daily) should be much higher pic.twitter.com/zfBxKosP99 — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) December 17, 2018 $VIX >25 – Vol Funds Go Wild …

READ MORE

Containers, Housing index and sales

by WARREN MOSLER Analyst Opinion of Container Movements Simply looking at this month versus last month – this was a terrible month. The three month rolling averages significantly declined. This is the first dataset I have seen which could be …

READ MORE

Media hype questionable gun control study

Dozens of news outlets reported that America has the most mass shooters in the world. Many say that shows America needs more gun control. From John Stossel: CNN claimed that “the U.S. has the most mass shootings”. The WSJ reported that “U.S. leads …

READ MORE

Your AM Global Stocks Preview and a whole lot more news that you need to read: Global stocks declining to start the week as US Government shutdown looms

by QuantalyticsResearch US Stocks US stocks index futures are declining, parring earlier AM gains as worries about a shutdown of the US government are causing jitters among US traders: front-month Dow Jones minis –0.11%m S&P500 minis –0.07% and Nasdaq 100 minis –0.04% …

READ MORE

Peak “Everything Bubble?” The data is piling up.

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter For nine years, US stocks, foreign stocks, government bonds, corporate investment-grade bonds, junk bonds, leveraged loans, emerging market bonds, art, classic cars, residential real estate, commercial real estate, startup valuations…. they all surged. Then came 2018. Which …

READ MORE

Bank Tank Part II Could Start Here

by Kimble Charting This chart looks at the Bank Index (BKX) over the past 25-years on a monthly basis, reflecting that currently, the 9-year trend in the index remains up. The index may have created a double top this year, at the same level …

READ MORE

Liquidity Points to Continued Weakness; Banks Globally Are Screaming Systemic Risk

https://twitter.com/MehulD108/status/1073202307423236096 [RTRS] – U.S.-BASED LOAN PARTICIPATION FUNDS POST $2.5 BLN WITHDRAWALS OVER WEEKLY PERIOD; LARGEST WITHDRAWALS ON RECORDS DATING TO 2003 -LIPPER — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) December 13, 2018 [RTRS] – U.S.-BASED CORPORATE INVESTMENT-GRADE BOND FUNDS POST $3.7 BLN WITHDRAWALS OVER …

READ MORE