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From Birch Gold Group This week, Your News to Know rounds up the latest top stories involving gold and the overall economy. Stories include: Why the coronavirus outbreak could be the … Read more
An inverted curve has a simple meaning … IN THE MARKET'S OPINION, the funds rate is too high. Every day the curve is inverted, high rates are damaging the economy. … Read more
(Bloomberg) — A key slice of the U.S. yield curve inverted on Thursday for the first time since October, reviving memories of growth fears that plagued investors last year and … Read more
The Inverted Yield Curve, Part 2??? It's (almost) back. pic.twitter.com/pFh7Ngxoqt — Jim Bianco (@biancoresearch) January 27, 2020 Here is another updated indicator of mine pointing to weaker NFPs in ’20, … Read more
2-year and 5-year rates have fallen below EFFR again after steepening to +20bps. If this persists out the curve, the Fed will have to keep cutting ✂️✂️ pic.twitter.com/XTbyxZcBYv — Eric … Read more
c&i loan growth y/y tumbling towards zero amid industrial recession pic.twitter.com/5B5DBt6xBp — Alastair Williamson (@StockBoardAsset) December 29, 2019 The U.S. 2-10s yield curve has steepened to the widest since October … Read more
Q4 GDPNow almost zero. That invented yield curve was sure way off the mark! t.co/2w6ffQNwGA — Albert Edwards (@albertedwards99) November 15, 2019 if consumer is removed from equation – economy … Read more
The yield curve going back to normal is almost certainly an extremely bearish sign. It always reverts to normal beforea recession hits, often merely months ahead. fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=ptQw “After the first intraday inversion … Read more
by UPFINA The yield curve is now normal again across all maturities. If it wasn’t for the way the curve inverted, this would be a recessionary warning. There was a major … Read more
Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter Yield Curve Spaghetti! It happened. Hallelujah. Or maybe better: Watch Out! The yield curve, after having been at least partially inverted all year, un-inverted today. The … Read more
by SpontaneousDisorder Whilst an inverted yield curve predicts recession its the re-steepening that tells you recession is coming. My view has been that when the yield curve steepens again and … Read more
Campbell Harvey is a Professor at Duke University and a partner at Research Affiliates. He sat down with Michael Batnick and Josh Brown of Ritholtz Wealth Management to discuss the … Read more
by Tom McClellan Back on August 22, I wrote here about how the spread between the 10-year T-Note yield and the 3-month T-Bill yield gives us a leading indication that is … Read more
'The yield curve's slope signals lower corporate profits ahead.' t.co/D0feyLd8qG via @SoberLook pic.twitter.com/40qmqxcCI7 — Jesse Felder (@jessefelder) September 11, 2019 Hedge funds have moved toward defense and lowered overall exposure … Read more
by FS As markets flirt with fears of a recession, many point to the recent yield curve inversion as a telling sign that recession is imminent. Financial Sense Insider spoke with … Read more
By Robert Ross August 14 was the worst day of the year for stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 800 points in a single day. The stock market plunged … Read more