by WARREN MOSLER Trumped up expectations largely reversed: Highlights At 101.7, the small business optimism index fell short of expectations in February, recovering only 5 tenths of January’s 3.2 point dip. Econoday’s consensus was looking for 102.5 with the low …
by notabot_v1 $VOO Expense Ratio Lowered from 0.04% to 0.03% Congrats to all you Bogleheads — the most boring investment just got a little cheaper. via MarketWatch: Vanguard Group will not be outdone. A fintech start-up offered zero-fee ETFs first, but …
by jessefelder “Even the most circumspect friend of the market would concede that the volume of brokers’ loans—of loans collateraled by the securities purchased on margin—is a good index of the volume of speculation.” -John Kenneth Galbraith, The Great Crash, 1929 January …
via upfina: Index fund investing has become very popular in the past few years as investors love their low fees and hate how most fund managers underperform the market. There is a huge incentive for fund managers to spread negative information …
The Baltic Dry Index is sometimes referred to, but most investors aren’t really sure what it is. We’ll take a brief look into what the BDI is and why it’s important. This can help you attain a further grasp into …
Most investors have heard of the “Buffet Indicator”, a simple but effective way of looking at the size of the stock market compared to the size of the economy. But have you heard of Mike Maloney’s “Market Fragility Index”? It’s …
https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1095279587406299136 https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1095123331089645569 commodities fade, when macro backdrop is deteriorating, it is kind of hard to hold a cheerful narrative pic.twitter.com/a388Rrdmaa — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) February 12, 2019 Investors with $515 billion surveyed by Bank of America Merrill Lynch aren’t convinced by …
Is there a more deflationary chart than the Baltic Dry Index of global freight rates? pic.twitter.com/3XajzZVIzY — David Rosenberg (@EconguyRosie) February 5, 2019 Chart: US non-manufacturing export orders (weak!!!!!) pic.twitter.com/5qHTFXW7je — mcm-ct.com (@mcm_ct) February 5, 2019 Given the sharp slowdown …
Look at this chart: ratio of “present situation” to “expectations” from the Conference Board confidence report. Cut-and-dry sign of a tapped-out consumer. A great leading indicator at turning points because it either coincides with the recession or occurs a few …
leveraged loans index stalling out – bad for stock market pic.twitter.com/KTt21h5yqZ — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) January 28, 2019 Credit Default Swaps reset after a month of declines? pic.twitter.com/xU4LAqo03F — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) January 28, 2019 Eurozone credit impulse… Despite zero interest rates …
via ECRI ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) increased to 143.4 as WLI growth fell further to -6.5%, a 363-week low. On desktop click here to download WLI data for free, including the full history of its level and growth rate. On …
by WARREN MOSLER Agent Orange, the self proclaimed tariff man, taking the EU: US decelerating: I would have expected Chile to be affected most by global warming… It’s becoming more clear to me that lending shifted from banks to other …
by markyu007 Largest positive changes to net worth Jeff Bezos (Amazon): +$24 billion Lei Jun (Xiaomi): +$8.6 billion Colin Huang (Pinduoduo): +$6.9 billion Largest negative changes to net worth Georg Schaeffler (Schaeffler Group): -$13.6 billion Amancio Ortega (Zara): -$16.6 …
Jack Bogle, founder of index fund giant Vanguard Group, is warning investors to prepare for 2019 by decreasing exposure to stocks and increasing investment in defensive strategies, such as fixed income securities like bonds. “Trees don’t grow to the sky, …
All is well. Credit argues otherwise. pic.twitter.com/cGCelKZqeL — Jack (@JackPScott) December 28, 2018 When Leveraged Loans Index rolls over – watch out stock market! pic.twitter.com/M8IQSYZLMs — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) December 28, 2018 The US Yield Curve has partly inverted. pic.twitter.com/tThH8mB2h7 — …
by WARREN MOSLER Analyst Opinion of Container Movements Simply looking at this month versus last month – this was a terrible month. The three month rolling averages significantly declined. This is the first dataset I have seen which could be …
via confoundedinterest: The SMART Money Flow Index has just declined to its lowest level since 1995 as The Fed’s QE3 vanishes into the sunset. The Smart Money Flow Index is calculated according to a special formula by taking the action of …
HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index is in turmoil pic.twitter.com/B1TJPwIEOj — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) December 12, 2018 US 10 – 2 year #yieldcurve drops to 10 basis points! pic.twitter.com/WkmB522KLT — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) December 11, 2018 A Bear Market is now underway …
https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1072279752772341760 https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1072255320645427200 Oops! Yield on Deutsche Bank Coco Bond jumps above 12%, highest since 2016. pic.twitter.com/NcpAmrMB0K — Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) December 10, 2018 TROUBLE for this weeks ECB meeting. Financial conditions in the Eurozone have dropped to lowest since 2016. …
via Jeremy Hill A credit market guidepost suggests the turmoil in high-grade bonds isn’t over yet. The CDX investment-grade index, a measure of the cost of default protection for high-grade bonds, surged during the trading day Monday and at one point …
by cyclonenation04 TL/DR: Due to the significant growth of index fund use, voting rights and control of public companies are held by an ever shrinking group of index fund managers (Vanguard, Blackrock, Fidelity, State Street) https://www.wsj.com/articles/bogle-sounds-a-warning-on-index-funds-1543504551?mod=mhp https://outline.com/DGK9Td (if paywall) There no …
by WARREN MOSLER Last month revised lower and looking weak: Highlights A drop for primary metals, a sharp drop for machinery, and a reversal for defense aircraft all pulled down durable goods orders in October which fell a sharper-than-expected 4.4 …
via Jeremy Hill A credit market guidepost suggests the turmoil in high-grade bonds isn’t over yet. The CDX investment-grade index, a measure of the cost of default protection for high-grade bonds, surged during the trading day Monday and at one point …
by Phiery From Vanguard Ratchets Up Index-Fund Price Battle in The Wall Street Journal: Vanguard Group is lowering the minimum amounts customers need to invest to get cheaper prices on more than three dozen of its index funds. The $5.3 trillion indexing …
by Kimble Charting CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE This chart looks at the Nasdaq Composite Index over the past 22-years on a monthly basis. The chart highlights that the index has spent the majority of the past 18-years inside of rising channel (1). …
via Jill Mislinski This morning’s release of the publicly available data from ECRI puts its Weekly Leading Index (WLI) at 145.7, up from the previous week’s 145.6. Year-over-year the four-week moving average of the indicator is now at 0.12%, down from …
by AlexPitti The Italian services PMI fell to 49.2. Italy has the weakest new business formation in 44 months. 2018 GDP growth estimates for Germany have fallen from 2.5% in March to 1.6%. Economic slowdowns result in more volatility in the …
By Harry Dent I was one of the few, along with Robert Shiller, predicting that the real estatebubble in the U.S. was getting ready to burst back in late 2005. Home sales had peaked in July 2005. Home prices peaked nine …
Bullish? Check the Smart Money Flow Index, which tracks net buying or selling throughout sessions, versus the Dow Jones … pic.twitter.com/ScM4HiVbxV — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) November 5, 2018
