via financialpost: Last time ticket prices fell like this was in 2007, right before the recession almost nobody saw coming It is a fascinating anomaly that as the S&P 500, along with its global counterparts, has been off to the races …
Global non-financial corporate debt hit a record high of 92% in Q3 2018. pic.twitter.com/fDyv5HQ5D9 — IIF (@IIF) January 15, 2019 Flashing Red Indicator Warns of Rising Risk of Financial Crisis The demand for debt issued by the U.S. federal government …
https://twitter.com/StockBoardAsset/status/1079383545561468929 5. North American institutional investor confidence in the toilet — ongoing "de-risking" by the largest investors… $SPX $SPY pic.twitter.com/LKQ0dGc94s — Callum Thomas (@Callum_Thomas) December 29, 2018 Volatile financial markets and softer economic data has led Goldman Sachs to trim …
by Kimble Charting Any large decline in stocks often brings up the question, should one start buying the dips or selling rallies. The decline of late and the bounce higher the past few days most likely have millions of investors around the …
via advisorperspectives: Market Cap to GDP is a long-term valuation indicator that has become popular in recent years, thanks to Warren Buffett. Back in 2001, he remarked in a Fortune Magazine interview that “it is probably the best single measure of where valuations …
by Jeff Clark, Senior Precious Metals Analyst, GoldSilver Mike Maloney was excited. It was our weekly company meeting, and he interrupted it to tell us all about a new recession indicator he’d just discovered. In fact, he said it is …
Goldman’s bear market indicator is at a rare 73 percent, its highest level since the late 1960s and early 1970s. At such levels, the tool predicts a zero average return over the next 12 months and a “substantial” risk of …
via Zerohedge: “Get used to this kind of volatility,” warns Hussman Funds’ John Hussman in his latest comment. “Unfortunately, the moment interest rates hit zero, [historical risk and valuation] limits vanished, and preemptively responding to speculative extremes became terrifically detrimental.” “Presently, neither valuations nor …
Bear markets: the 1st drop, bounce, and subsequent drop pic.twitter.com/KE0aeF1AV0 — zerohedge (@zerohedge) November 9, 2018 wow -> housing inventory is flooding the market! pic.twitter.com/fREunNN9RZ — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) November 9, 2018 BofA's Bear market signposts – 11 of 19 (58%) …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kXdcMk2gg0Q Two months before the 2007 stock market top, the Elliott Wave Financial Forecast said, “The record suggests that falling prices lie directly ahead for the U.S. market.” The reference was to the “record” of one particular indicator. Learn about …
https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1056823984807927808 https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1056770220331855872 How quickly years worth of gains can be lost in bubble markets….if it wasn't for the US blowing out it's deficit and global QE of $15T and 0% rates for so long, these would have become permanent. At …
by Kimble Charting Many savvy investors look at the NYSE Composite to gauge the health of the broader market. With the markets in correction mode, we will look at this broad-based stock index for clues about the stock market correction. In the chart …
via Cormac Mullen A Goldman Sachs Group Inc. indicator designed to provide a “reasonable signal for future bear-market risk” has risen to the highest in almost 50 years. The firm’s Bull/Bear Index, which is based on measures of equity valuation, growth …
by Chris Kimble CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE This chart compares the relative strength of Stocks to bonds by creating the S&P 500/10-Year yield ratio (SPX/TNX) on a monthly basis, since the mid-1970’s. The stock/bond ratio’s trend has been up for …
by Brian Maher of Daily Reckoning A raging hurricane — Florence — menaces the East Coast. Landfall is expected on Friday. Meantime, a different type of menace drifts into view… One prominent market indicator is presently blaring its loudest warning in …
via spurnburn: Plot created using MATLAB. Blue line shows the difference in yield between 10-year bonds and 2-year bonds. Basically, shows the return on long term versus short term bonds (Source: US Treasury Department, treasury.gov) Orange line shows the price of an …
https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1033220222499598336 https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1033224552594198528 Swap curve just inverted. Not bullish. pic.twitter.com/1ZmIeeJLzL — Kevin C. Smith, CFA (@crescatkevin) August 24, 2018 $spx pic.twitter.com/4iaXpku32P — Álvaro Oviedo (@alvoviedo) August 24, 2018 https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1033194499399409669
Probably because people would march in the streets if they understood it. via theculturechronicles: When the economy is talked about in the mainstream media, you almost never hear about a very important indicator and one that really describes how the average …
by Michael Snyder Have you ever heard of the “Sound Advice Risk Indicator”? Every single time in our history when it has gone above 2.0 the stock market has crashed, and now it has just surged above that threshold for the …
via @OccupyWisdom: SO HERES SOMETHING…. CONSUMER #DOLLAR PURCHASING POWER VERSUS BABIES BORN PER 1,000 PEOPLE IN THE USA 1910 ONWARD The dollar’s purchasing power is a leading indicator for fertility. As the dollar drops in value (or spikes in 1940s), birth …
by Michael Snyder Warren Buffett’s favorite indicator is telling us that stocks are more overvalued right now than they have ever been before in American history. That doesn’t mean that a stock market crash is imminent. In fact, this indicator …
Thoughts? What’s your short-medium term strategy in this long-term context? https://www.gurufocus.com/stock-market-valuations.php As of 2018-07-25 (updates daily): The Stock Market is Significantly Overvalued. Based on historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (currently at 146.7%), it is likely to return -2.4% a year from this …
via Cormac Mullen Baa rated corporate bond premiums have risen above 2% Less-followed indicator ‘should not be ignored,’ Paulsen says One gauge of recession risk with a “pretty good” track record over the last half century has just raised a cautionary signal, …
#BITCOIN VERSUS #SP500 There is currently a #divergence between $BTC (collapsing) and the S&P (rally mode). Interestingly enough, BTC has been a leading indicator for equities. If the pattern continues we can expect a sizable drop in the #StockMarket. https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1005985583297122304 …
via Advisor Perspectives: Warren Buffett’s favorite stock market valuation metric, when using the broadest measure of total stock market capitalization vs. the total value of US GDP, is at an all-time high. As in, as measured by the broadest, most-inclusive …
by Kimble Charting CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE Few industries are more important to the overall economy than the Housing Sector. The chart above looks at the Dow Jones Home Construction Index over the past 18-years and how it has peaked …
by FS Our Financial Sense leading economic indicator (LEI) peaked in October 2017 and has experienced six months of consecutive declines. It is still in positive territory—meaning the risk of a recession over the next six months is quite low—but …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s2xI8x3KlyA EWI’s analysts know the technical indicators which have proven their value over the years. One of these time-tested indicators is sending a warning that should be of interest to every investor.
via Zerohedge: How do you know an economy is growing? To answer that question fully would require for more time than most readers can dedicate to an article here, as there are simply too many indicators to mention, some objective, …
via Zero Hedge The past month has seen a flurry of dramatic correlation shifts and changes across key US and global assets – traditionally an indication that a major market transition is upon us – with the most notable move …