by confoundedinterest17 Hang ’em high! As inflation remains persist (thanks to endless Fed stimulus and endless Federal spending splurges), we are seeing The Federal Reserve finally withdrawing the monetary stimulus (tightening the monetary noose). And with it, the US Treasury yield …
by confoundedinterest17 Whoop there it is! The US Treasury 10y-2y yield curve descended further into inversion at -82 basis point, the worst since 1981. This is not a good sign, since the 10Y-2Y curve typically inverts just prior to a recession. …
by confoundedinterest17 Do I hear Drums Along The Potomac or East River?? The hawkish drumbeat from central bankers is raising fears of a downturn, with global bonds joining US peers in signaling a recession, as a gauge measuring the worldwide yield curve inverted for the …
by confoundedinterest17 What interest rates are telling us is a bad sign. With an impending railroad strike that can torpedo the US economy (but if that is possible, why is the Biden Clan vacationing in Nantucket for Thanksgiving weekend when …
by confoundedinterest17 As the midterm elections get close, the news for Americans gets worse. On the housing/mortgage front, Bankrate’s 30-year mortgage rate (yellow line) just hit 7.20%, the highest since 2000. Also, the US Treasury 10yr-3mo yield curve (white line) inverted, …
by confoundedinterest17 And I thought the Washington Commanders QB Carson Wentz getting sacked nine times in a game against his former team was bad! We start the week with another chapter of “The Worst Bond Bubble Burst Since 1949.” This time …
by confoundedinterest17 Is The Federal Reserve pushin’ too hard on raising their target rate? The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve descended further into inversion, signaling impending recession. The US unemployment rate (U-3) tends to be the lowest when the 10Y-2Y yield …
All the key indicators are showing a tanking economy. Do not ignore these signs. Investors don’t have faith in America right now and who can blame them. A key part of the Treasury yields inverted once again on Friday, stoking …
by confoundedinterest17 The US Treasury 10Y-5Y curve (aka, the belly of the Treasury beast) has inverted. It is more about the 10Y Treasury yield rising more slowly than the 5Y yield. Freddie Mac’s 30Y mortgage commitment rate rose to 4.42%. …
by confoundedinterest17 The US Treasury yield curved inverted on Friday for the first time since 2007 and it became ever more inverted today as 10-year T-Note Volatility spiked. Investors are taking large bets on the leveraged VIX note with inflows the …
Hedgeye, Released on 8/28/18 Did someone say slowdown? An important historical precedent is emerging which investors should keep a close eye on—it may be another signal that the U.S. is in the late stages of its current economic cycle. The …
Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter How the “Yield Curves” Stack Up in central-bank manipulated bond markets. So we had a little bond-market upheaval this morning. After President Trump successfully manipulated bond yields down yesterday and today by griping about the Fed’s …
