Stock Rollover Could Be Starting

by Chris Kimble The NYSE Index is facing a very important price level as Momentum and the MACD are at the highest levels in a year! The 9-week rally from the late December lows has the NYSE index facing the October, November, …

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The Pension Crisis is Starting to Explode

by Martin Armstrong At the current federal minimum wage of $7.25 per hour, working 40 hours per week, 52 weeks per year, yields an annual income of only $15,080. This is below the annual poverty line. It also reflects something that most people …

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Business Confidence Is Starting to Crack

BY PATRICK WATSON Actions speak louder than words. That’s why surveys asking people what they think about the economy aren’t always useful. Their actions might not match their words. Of course, attitudes are important because they guide our decisions, even though we don’t …

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$Oil starting to call bullsh*t on $SPX

https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1092822892117676032 Fed rate cuts during the 2000-2002 and 2007-2009 collapses. When investors are inclined toward risk-aversion, safe liquidity is a desirable asset rather than an inferior one, so creating more of the stuff doesn't durably provoke risk-taking. Chart h/t @CoryLVenable …

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The Shale Energy Bust Is Starting

by Jesse Colombo OilPrice.org published a piece this week called “Warning Signs Flash For U.S. Shale” – The shale tidal wave may finally be starting to ebb. The largest oilfield services company in the world says that shale drilling activity …

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Cue the ‘IT’S HAPPENING’ memes. France could be starting a revolution that will spread throughout Europe. Globalists in panic mode

by AnonDidNothingWrong Italy populist leaders back France ‘yellow vest’ protests ROME: The two leaders of Italy’s ruling populist coalition Monday spectacularly threw their support behind the “yellow vest” protesters roiling neighboring France. “Yellow vests, do not weaken!” Deputy Prime Minister …

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Leveraged bets on the stock market are starting to unwind; Financial Stress Index rises to the highest level since Feb 2016…. Nomura: The global economy is ‘already on an irreversible path’ to a downturn

via businessinsider: In the life of a decade-long credit cycle, the global economy’s current condition shows it’s firmly heading toward a downturn, according to a new analysis from Nomura. A single cycle is historically a decade long. The beginning is marked …

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Did $SPX just crash? We’re starting to smell some of the bad milk that we put back in the fridge in 2008

Regarding momentum, did $SPX just crash? pic.twitter.com/dpVecmT7QY — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) December 22, 2018 https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1076519512407769088 It seems like Fed Chair Powell insists that QT doesn't matter, but on our models liquidity matters! (see chart – ouch!) Our last FX weekly this …

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If you believe in the theory that “Housing is the US Economy” then things are starting to get dicey…. Morgan Stanley: “We are in a bear market”

global slowdown is coming pic.twitter.com/76WjQdNNC3 — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) November 19, 2018 Morgan Stanley Calls It: "We Are In A Bear Market" https://t.co/MHNd8yczng — zerohedge (@zerohedge) November 19, 2018 US High Yield credit spreads move up to 418 bps, widest since …

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