by Jim Rickards via Daily Reckoning Here’s the lay of the land. The Senate is currently divided between 51 Republicans and 49 Democrats (including two Independents who caucus with the Democrats). A change of two seats in favor of the Democrats will give …
by Frank Holmes, CEO, U.S. Global Investors According to the 2018 edition of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, October has been a “great” time to buy. Once ranked last in terms of stock performance, the 10th month has delivered relatively average returns since …
The Volatility Index has more than doubled over the past 6 trading days, the 9th largest 6-day spike in history. $VIX pic.twitter.com/rqUuFzDqXz — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) October 12, 2018 #SPX and #NYSE technical, cycle and measured downside targets have not …
Do you think that stocks will rise in the short term? Yesterday’s trading session saw a brutal downward force applied to the Dow Jones, losing over 800 points. In after hours trading it dropped even further. That spread into Asia …
by Troy As you would recall, I said in late-September that the stock market’s volatility would probably spike in October. Volatility was extremely compressed, which set the stage for an expansion in vol. Yesterday, the stock market went down and volatility spiked …
by Jesse Colombo As seen on Forbes by RealInvestmentAdvice.com’s Jesse Colombo: “Why Another Market Volatility Surge Is Likely Ahead“: The U.S. stock market is climbing to record highs once again and volatility has calmed down dramatically from its panic-induced levels reached earlier …
by Troy The stock market’s volatility continues to be lacking recently. VIX has completely collapsed, and is now trading sideways in a narrow range. You can see this via VIX’s narrow weekly Bollinger Bands. VIX’s 20 weekly standard deviation is …
by Martin Armstrong QUESTION: Well you called this year the political year from hell. You got that one right again. Between trying to figure out the politics in the US, we have Britain in turmoil and Italy trying to figure out …
via confoundedinterest: Central banks including The Federal Reserve have numbed the Treasury market to the extent that it feels like it has been injected with a massive dose of Lidocaine. 10-year Treasury Note volatility (TYVIX) just hit an all-time low. And the …
via cmegroup: We freely admit: Figure 1 is probably the strangest chart that you will ever see, at least in finance. You may be wondering: did they throw blue spaghetti noodle on paper for inspiration and then write an economics article …
by Dana Lyons While stocks are finally back testing new all-time highs, the volatility market is well off of its yearly lows, a divergence that has been problematic for stocks the past 2 decades. The S&P 500 (SPX) made its long-awaited …
by Dana Lyons Will this volatility divergence have the same disastrous effects as it has on its other 3 occurrences over the past 2 decades? Our Chart Of The Day on Twitter today is a sample of the Premium content we share with …
via confoundedinterest: Are emerging markets really SUBmerging markets? The emerging markets/G7 FX volatility ratio just hits highest level since 2008 and the global financial crisis. Time for Central Banks like the ECB to flex their monetary muscles!
by visualcapitalist Almost all assets see fluctuations in value over time. But while price swings are a common phenomenon in most asset classes that exist, they are the most famous in the stock market. These upward and downward movements in price …
Ironically, financial markets are most risky when they appear to be the least so. With that in mind, let’s sift through some “junk,” with the aid of this chart. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CY6MAEh6sPQ
via @weizent Rainer Michael Preiss, executive director at Taurus Wealth Advisors, pointed to how the investing environment is changing: volatility is picking up, and interest rates are rising and monetary policy is tightening. In times of volatility, a more hands-on approach …
By Lance Gaitan Stocks have struggled to make new highs in recent weeks. What’s going on with the economy? With the help of the Federal Reserve’s extraordinary policy measures, U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) has expanded slowly over the past nine years. The …
From Frank Holmes at Frank Talk: The price of bitcoin surged above $8,000 last Tuesday for the first time since May after the Group of 20 (G20) meeting in Argentina concluded with little urgency to take regulatory action on cryptocurrencies. In …
BY SRSROCCO The markets are in serious trouble as the extreme oil price volatility continues to devastate the global economy. Investors and analysts today are totally clueless because they have become the frogs burnt to a crisp in the frying …
via Bloomberg: “50 Cent” is back. Or at least, a pretty convincing impersonator who spent $5 million on volatility hedges this week. The mysterious buyer, or buyers, earned the nickname — a play on the rapper Curtis Jackson, known as “50 Cent” …
by ITS_JUST_LOW_T In investing it’s essentially the ability of an asset to change in price rapidly. This doesn’t mean it’s always changing in price necessarily, just that it has the potential to. Bonds are generally a fixed rate of return paid …
via Michael Selby-Green JPMorgan CEO says investors should prepare for the possibility of 4% yields and increased market volatility. US borrowing could jump to $400 billion per quarter which is “a lot,” he warned. But he added that: “At the moment …
Rainer Michael Preiss, executive director at Taurus Wealth Advisors, predicts that Wall Street could potentially see a 30 to 40 via Saheli Roy Choudhury Interest-rate volatility could be a real stinger for U.S. stocks, and investors may be ill-prepared to handle …
by M. K. Matthews, The Organic Prepper The stock market has a short memory as Syria fatigue sets in and the U.S. markets rally on Monday morning. But is the volatility truly over? Traders are breathing a sigh of relief that …
via Nomi Prins 1 – Trade Wars Flashpoints, From China to Canada and Mexico Wall Street has knee-jerk reactions to any trade war related headlines. There are legitimate reasons to be concerned about trade wars. The world is increasingly more connected …
Volatility will rise again. It will catch people by surprise again. Stocks will feel the burn again. Again and again and again. Same cycles repeating. Do you believe that volatility will spike? Volatility can collapse a market. We saw just …
via Joanna Ossinger Volatility may be here to stay — but there’s a lot investors can do to prepare for it. “Hedges against late cycle volatility bursts in credit, dispersion and cross-asset volatility as the equity/bond correlation itself becomes more volatile” …
by Dana Lyons Short-term volatility expectations took a dramatic spike higher Monday. “Be greedy when others are fearful”, Warren Buffet famously said. In our experience, it is wise counsel – if you have the intestinal fortitude to implement such an approach. The …
by John Coumarianos After a bad week in early February when the S&P 500 Index dropped 10% to meet acknowledged definition of a correction, the market has rebounded and investors have mostly regained confidence. On Monday, March 5, the Index …
Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, So who’s holding the hot potato of systemic risk now? Everyone. One of the greatest con jobs of the past 9 years is the status quo’s equivalence of risk and volatility: risk = …