by confoundedinterest17 As I frequently told my investment and fixed-income securities students at Chicago, Ohio State and George Mason University, any 10 basis point change in the US Treasury 10-year yield is significant. But how about today’s 20 basis point decline …
https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y
by confoundedinterest17 And I thought the Washington Commanders QB Carson Wentz getting sacked nine times in a game against his former team was bad! We start the week with another chapter of “The Worst Bond Bubble Burst Since 1949.” This time …
by laflammaster The 10Y2Y maturity curve is flashing red, e.g. just like it did proceeding the 2000/2001 and 2007/2008 market crashes.
by silvertomars lol. pic.twitter.com/vOeaWrjWPn — Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) September 20, 2022 U.S. 2-YEAR TREASURY YIELD HITS HIGHEST SINCE NOVEMBER 2007 AT 3.973%, UP 3 BPS ON DAY — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) September 20, 2022 How far will the Fed go? …
by maotsetunginmyass FYI, the 2 yr yield has surpassed the 20. This has not happened for a very long time as the 20 has remained above the 2 for fucking ever. The 2 yr yield surpassed the 5/10/30 long ago …
by PrettySugar9264 Historically when fed raises rates risk assets (stocks) get sold off! ⚠️BREAKING: *U.S. 2-YEAR TREASURY YIELD CLIMBS TO 3.48%, HIGHEST SINCE NOV. 2007 🇺🇸 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/zcqdnQ45w7 — Investing.com (@Investingcom) August 29, 2022 Scary times ahead, but I don’t …
by Mac Slavo of SHTFplan Europe’s corn yield is expected to drop by nearly a fifth due to a devastating drought. The bloc’s Monitoring Agricultural Resources forecasted that this upcoming harvest is not going to be a plentiful one. Besides the news of …
US High Yield – CDX has tightened by 180bp in 6 weeks despite dismal data. Against the collapse in homebuilder sentiment & Empire PMI it looks nuts. pic.twitter.com/2M7SEwXGLC — PPG (@PPGMacro) August 17, 2022 US mortgage payments as percentage of …
by BoatSurfer600 The Big Short’s Michael Burry says “the Nasdaq is in a bull market because it is up 20% off its low? Who makes this stuff up? After 2000, the Nasdaq did that 7 times as it fell 78% …
by confoundedinterest17 Goin’ down! Lots of volatility in markets culminating in a 15 basis point drop in the US Treasury Note yield. Since the 10-year Treasury yield dropped only -2.7 basis points, the 10Y-2Y yield curve rose slightly to -38.87 basis …
by confoundedinterest17 The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve is descending further into darkness (aka, inversion). The 10Y-2Y yield curve hit the worst inversion since 2000 as the curve slope hit -47.7 basis points, inverting another -2.267 basis points today. Yes, the 10Y-2Y …
by confoundedinterest17 Is The Federal Reserve pushin’ too hard on raising their target rate? The US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve descended further into inversion, signaling impending recession. The US unemployment rate (U-3) tends to be the lowest when the 10Y-2Y yield …
by confoundedinterest17 Here is your weekend update on Treasury and Mortgage markets. The current US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve just slipped further into reversion at -40.299 basis points, screaming impending recession. Oddly, The Federal Reserve has been leaving its balance …
Danielle DiMartino Booth – Twitter, Released on 8/3/22 The yield curve votes “NO-CONFIDENCE” on the US economy… I’m sure it’s nothing. https://t.co/56CzUovZ4x — Danielle DiMartino Booth (@DiMartinoBooth) August 3, 2022
Wall Street Silver – Twitter, Released on 7/27/22 https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1552428622476185601
by confoundedinterest17 Just remember, the US economy had strong employment figures just prior to the 2008 Great Recession and financial crisis, so US Treasury Secretary Yellen, Biden’s economic cheerleader Bernstein and Obama’s economic cheerleader Sperling are all relying on a bad …
By Lance Roberts No recession. That was the recent declaration from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, noting that consumer spending, industrial output, credit quality, and other indicators don’t suggest economic risk. “You don’t see any of the signs. A recession is a …
🚨 BREAKING 🚨 The 10/2 year US #treasury yield curve has completely inverted. #Reccession is imminent. pic.twitter.com/D2quMeyTtz — Rob Kientz | The Freedom Report (@freedom_rpt) July 19, 2022 Investors demand more yield (return) on shorter length bonds, indicating they see …
by confoundedinterest17 Here we go doom loop de loop? The dollar’s gain is the world’s pain — and based on its current trajectory, the world may be in for a whole lot more discomfort. Concerns over global growth have recently sent the US Dollar …
by confoundedinterest17 Alarm! As most economists are aware, unemployment rates are not a leading indicator of a recession. But job cuts ARE a leading indicator. Challenger US job cuts rose 58.8% YoY in June. Combine that with negative REAL wage growth …
by cbus20122 Probably not a surprise, but wanted to share this for discussion points. Given, the initial and brief inversion in April 2022 garnered most of the attention, but I personally think this one will get a bit deeper unless …
by confoundedinterest17 Its Ted Day! TED refers to the difference between the three-month Treasury bill and the three-month LIBOR based in U.S. dollars, a measure of fear in the market. The 3-month TED spread is rising awfully fast. A sign of …
by confoundedinterest17 Run runaway! For safety to Treasuries. A “recession shock” begins for markets following the worst first-half for the S&P 500 in more than 50 years. And investors are running to Treasuries for safety as US Treasury 10-year yields tank …
High-yield CDX…whoa! pic.twitter.com/6GlKLWlI6s — Randy Woodward (@TheBondFreak) June 13, 2022 Consumers are coming out of lockdowns and want to do things. However, with 8.6% inflation, even basic necessities are becoming unaffordable. Now, consumers are turning to credit card debt which …
View post on imgur.com https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/greece-10-year-bond-yield h/t dr0id
by laflammaster From almost 20% of GDP last year to less than 5% this year. I can’t say when the “official” recession will begin however growth is currently hovering at 0% right now, which means that ex-deficit we are ALREADY …
by confoundedinterest17 Another 10 basis point jumps in Treasury yields, this time at the 2-year Treasury Note. The 10Y-2Y Treasury slope just flattened to +26 BPS. Another step in rising mortgage rates! Washington DC is anything but Harmony Hall.
