What Causes a Yield Curve to Flatten?
by Status_Flux The main reason for raising interest rates is to combat inflation. However the fed doesn’t actually set rates for short term bonds but rather sets the rates at which … Read more
yield
Is the Yield curve correlated with financial crises? See the chart. Gray vertical bands indicate the last seven financial crises.
An inverted yield curve predicts recessions. h/t br_anonbinary
1-M HIBOR vs. LIBOR rates now at lowest level since 2007! The ten year yield is only 18 bps above the overnight rate
1-M HIBOR vs. LIBOR rates now at lowest level since 2007! Interesting how same spread disparity also corresponded with the market top for HK stocks. Note: HSI index peaked in … Read more
Russia Warns Against New US ‘Low Yield’ Warheads
A new “low-yield” US warhead is less powerful than the bomb dropped on Hiroshima but more capable of igniting a nuclear conflict than bigger nuclear weapons, analysts believe. Dubbed W76-2, … Read more
Is a Recession Coming, Trickle Up Default, Yield Curve, Short-Term Rent
from Jason Hartman’s Creating Wealth Jason Hartman and Doug take today’s episode as a chance to look at some key happenings in our world today. By now you’ve heard Jason discuss … Read more
The distance between the S&P and high yield suggests the stock market starts the breakdown today
twitter.com/hks55/status/1085598670408552448 twitter.com/hks55/status/1085630001624403968 $GS Monthly #Update pic.twitter.com/SuA0fJXMvS — HiddenPivots (@HiddenPivots) January 16, 2019 twitter.com/hks55/status/1085565195366354944 The credit cycle looks something like this. We’ve basically been stuck in Phase 3 since 2015, though … Read more
Yield Curve Spaghetti – Investors in short-term Treasuries and savings products are having a field day.
Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter The US Treasury yield curve is having some bad-hair days. It is overall flat-ish, but within this description, it is steepening at the short end, sagging … Read more
Recession, 10% High Yield Spreads and a Key Points 1½% Fed Funds Rate – Prelude to a Storm?
Recession, 10% High Yield Spreads and aKey Points 1½% Fed Funds Rate – Prelude to a Storm?Tough it was that dawn to be an investor, but to be in Treasuries … Read more
Nearly 20% of Global Stocks Have FALLEN 50% or More! Yield Curve Inversion Sparks Fear!
Now that 2018 is gone and 2019 has begun, we can continue with the unprecedented times. Odd occurrences are happening every day. Banks are failing. Stocks have fallen. The public … Read more
Current US yield curve – Now inverted from 1Y to 7Y
by SpontaneousDisorder The government borrows from the market for different lengths of time. ie from 1 month to 30 years. The interest rates (yield) vary according to what the market … Read more
The Yield Curve Inversion…and Why It Matters
by Doug Hornig, Contributor, GoldSilver GoldSilver’s Mike Maloney recently released a video dealing with inversion of the yield curve in the bond market. It’s an excellent introduction to a subject about which … Read more
High-Yield CLOs: “The Biggest Emerging Market Debt Problem Is in America”
via project-syndicate: A decade after the subprime bubble burst, a new one seems to be taking its place in the market for corporate collateralized loan obligations. A world economy geared toward … Read more
What Investors Get Wrong About the Yield Curve
by Daniel Carter The yield curve is collapsing once again, and that has many investors talking about what it means for the US economy. Overwhelmingly, the sentiment is that a flattening … Read more
T-Minus 10 and Counting: 10Y/2Y Yield Curve Inversion Less Than 10 Basis Points Away
by confoundedinterest The US Treasury 10Y-2Y slope just breached the 10 basis point barrier. And with that, gold is rising. Yes, we are on the inversion express. With gold as the … Read more
The Yield Curve Flattens And Bank Stocks Plunge. Here’s The Connection – And The Prediction
by John Rubino Despite all the ominous press being devoted to the soon-to-be-inverted yield curve, it’s not always clear why such a thing matters. In other words, how, exactly does a … Read more
A Bear Market is now underway? HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index is in turmoil, US 10 – 2 year yield curve drops to 10 basis points….
HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index is in turmoil pic.twitter.com/B1TJPwIEOj — Alastair Williamson (@StockBoardAsset) December 12, 2018 US 10 – 2 year #yieldcurve drops to 10 basis points! pic.twitter.com/WkmB522KLT — jeroen … Read more