by confoundedinterest17 The 10-year Treasury Note yield rose to 1.869% this afternoon as Freddie Mac’s 30-year mortgage commitment rate rose to 3.45%. And if you like The Fed Funds Futures data, it is pricing in 4 rate hikes by The Fed …
by Chris Vermeulen of The Technical Traders The US Federal Reserve’s tightening monetary policy from a historically low-interest rate has slowed the US stock markets. As a result, traders quickly attempt to adjust their capital allocation levels as risk assets, technology, and US …
by laflammaster If you take a closer look, recession happens when the yield rates converge. By historical metrics, recessions should have started mid-late 2019 (which it kind of did). Sauce: https://www.federalreserve.gov/datadownload/Chart.aspx?rel=H15&series=bf17364827e38702b42a58cf8eaa3f78&lastobs=&from=&to=&filetype=csv&label=include&layout=seriescolumn&type=package&pp=Format
Rise in global yields has pulled value of negative-yielding debt below $10 trillion for first time since summer 2020 pic.twitter.com/xUjSgvF5nd — Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) January 11, 2022 U.S. 2y Treasury yield continues to rise relative to fed funds rate …
The market is now pricing in a >67% probability of the 1st Fed rate hike occurring in March. A month ago that probability was at 27%. pic.twitter.com/gSdiVgGbFh — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) January 6, 2022 pic.twitter.com/FyGD2vwFFi — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) January 6, …
by confoundedinterest17 Happy New Year! And Treasuries are off to fast start with investors bailing on Treasuries and buying stocks. AND the expectation that The Fed will raise rates 3 times this year. The 10-year Treasury Note yield rose above 1.60% …
by confoundedinterest17 President Biden nominated Jerome Powell for a second term as Fed Chair and nominated Lael Brainard as Deputy Chair to replace Richard Clarida. The US House of Overlords (aka, the US Senate) will hold hearings on the nominees (with …
Bond yields are getting crushed as the "reflation trade" hits peak fantasy. Who will be right, every idiot you know? Or the bond market? pic.twitter.com/uzKTxAjnNw — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) November 5, 2021 #recession … #GFC2 #UST #Bonds edition Biggest ever #ShortSqueeze …
Korean yields going bonkers while clueless retail investors are FOMOing today pic.twitter.com/0xeDvRAp42 — Kimchi Premium (@kimchipump) October 18, 2021 The Aussie 3 year just called, it says if the next Aussie CPI print is hot, low fixed rate mortgages are …
Luke Gromen on Gold Palisades Radio Luke is concerned about the United States debt to GDP ratio. Once a certain threshold of debt is reached countries normally enter a period of stagnancy. Today, there is a binary aspect to Fed policies as …
No one likes losing money, but Tuesday’s stock-price fall worries me more than the headline of a 2% fall in the S&P 500 should. In itself, 2% is no biggie: three days this year had bigger falls, and on average …
Global interest rates are surging, economic data continues to underwhelm, and an energy crisis is unfolding in Europe and elsewhere as coal, gas, and crude oil inventories reach multi-year lows. Chris Puplava, CIO of Financial Sense Wealth Management, goes through …
by confoundedinterest17 Central banks are turning “hawkish” in the face of inflation. (Bloomberg) — Treasuries fell, sending 10-year yields to a three-month high, as traders braced for a testing week of heavy bond auctions and continued to digest the prospect that central …
by confoundedinterest17 Chubby Checker sang “The Limbo Rock” with the tag line “How low can you go?” With the help of the European Central Bank’s endless monetary stimulus, twenty Europeans nations have negative sovereign yields. That is negative NOMINAL yields.
by confoundedinterest17 Face it, the 30-year Treasury market is not as interesting as widely-traded as the 10-year Treasury market. But we did see some interesting revelations in today’s 30 year Treasury auction. If yesterday’s 10Y auction was blockbuster, one of the strongest …
by confoundedinterest17 Strong words from fixed-income guru Bill Gross. In a meandering and sometimes off-kilter investment outlook posted on his website, the onetime bond king said longer-term Treasury yields are so low that the funds that buy them belong in …
by elija_snow In 100+ years data: Such depressed earnings’ yields have always led to very significant market meltdowns. Great Depression. 1937-8 Recession. Tech Bust. Average return for the subsequent 3 yrs being close to -53%. Thinking the Fed can sustainably …
by confoundedinterest17 U.S. 10-year yields are spiking upwards in what was supposed to be a sleepy day before the Fed’s Jackson Hole conference. The 2s10s curve is the steepest in two weeks. Eurodollar yields too have risen sharply and are up …
by Shaun Richards The year so far had brought more than a few surprises and some that should not have been. But bond markets have spent much of it singing along with Genesis. Can’t you see this is the land …
by Arkadiusz Sieron of Sunshine Profits The bond yields dropped despite surging inflation. It’s not a usual thing on the market, so we have to ask: what does it mean for gold? The markets hide many mysteries. One of them is the recent …
Zoomed out Was chart no. 8 in my 10 Charts for 2021: https://t.co/ZBqxIdO3ZY pic.twitter.com/EDO943tcYj — Callum Thomas (@Callum_Thomas) July 28, 2021 The YoY% of the M2 Money Stock continues to fall. No surprise here. pic.twitter.com/NoSl025POA — Steven Van Metre – …
by confoundedinterest17 Alarm! The real yield on U.S. 10-year debt fell to a record low as concerns mounted over the outlook for economic growth. The rate, which strips out inflation, fell almost six basis points to minus -1.269%. The move was compounded …
Bond markets on track…yield drop about weak #China economy, not delta variant. See China 1-year yields and economic momentum index @johnauthers @rbrtrmstrng @gnoble79 @ttmygh @RealVision pic.twitter.com/KmtycfRfOy — CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes (@crossbordercap) July 20, 2021 china large cap ETF vs SPY …
For the first time ever, Junk-Bond Rally Pulls Yields Below Inflation https://www.wsj.com/articles/junk-bon… Within only 2-3 months after corporate bond and credit markets froze up completely in February and March 2020, Wall St bond salespeople restarted selling (and increasing) massive amounts …
by Lance Roberts Bond yields are sending an economic warning as this past week 10-year Treasury yields dropped back to 1.3%. With the simultaneous surge in the dollar, there is rising evidence the economic “reflation” trade is geting unwound. Such is despite …
by Shaun Richards A major story in 2021 so far has been the moves in bond yields. This matters because they have become more significant in economic terms during the credit crunch. A factor in this is the way that …
Zach Griffiths, Wells Fargo Senior Macro Strategist, joins Yahoo Finance’s Alexis Christoforous and Kristin Myers to discuss the markets reaction amid FOMC news and the Fed’s decisions on asset purchases.
by confoundedinterest17 (Bloomberg) — The dollar slipped and benchmark Treasury yields slipped to a one-month low as investors braced for Thursday’s U.S. inflation report that may give clues on the direction of monetary policy. The greenback weakened against all of its nine developed-world …
