China’s S-Curve of Expansion, Stagnation and Decline

by Charles Hugh-Smith All the policies that worked in the Boost Phase no longer work. Natural and human systems tend to go through stages of expansion, stagnation and decline that follow what’s known as the S-Curve. The dynamic isn’t difficult to understand: an unfilled ecological niche is suddenly open due to a new adaptation; a bacteria … Read more

QE Party Goes Dry, Bank of Japan Tries to Confuse the Markets

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, http://www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter During the selloff in December, the BOJ shed $31 billion, but in January it piled on. Total assets on the Bank of Japan’s mammoth balance sheet, after a drop of ¥3.4 trillion ($31 billion) in December, rose by ¥4.8 trillion ($44 billion) in January, to ¥557 trillion ($5.1 trillion), the BOJ reported this morning. This shows two … Read more

Snopes and AP Quit As Fact Checkers at Facebook

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0DusTj3ObrM Two of Facebook’s four fact checkers, Snopes and the Associated Press, have abruptly ended their fact-checking relationship with the social media giant. In a Friday press release, Snopes said that it had “elected not to renew our partnership with Facebook,” and while declining to reveal specifics, added that “Forgoing an economic opportunity is not a decision … Read more

Another retailer might bite the dust…

Charlotte Russe Files for Bankruptcy SAN FRANCISCO, Feb. 4, 2019 /PRNewswire/ — Charlotte Russe Holdings Corporation together with its subsidiaries (the “Company” or “Charlotte Russe“) today announced that the Company has voluntarily filed for relief under Chapter 11 of the Bankruptcy Code in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware on February 3, 2019.  Charlotte Russeintends to use these … Read more

Big Tech Is No Longer Carrying the Stock Market

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/03/business/dealbook/stock-market-technology.html For much of the past decade, the fate of the stock market has been tied to the performance of a handful of the largest tech companies: Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Facebook, Microsoft and Netflix led the market from one record to the next. By the end of August, their sway over the direction of the … Read more

We know that 2018 was worst December since 1931. What happened after the worst December in 1931: A rally. Then, like, a gigantic drop.

https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1092603156398333953 Wall Street analysts now expect S&P 500 companies to report an average 0.8 percent decline in first quarter profits, according to FactSet.At the end of September, analysts expected first quarter profits to increase by 6.7 percent, on average.📉https://t.co/SZYKrmdydR pic.twitter.com/NSTg04Ntwf — M/1_LP (@MI_Investments) February 5, 2019 WSJ: Over the past year, purchasing managers sounded an … Read more

GE To Pay $1.5 Billion To Settle Justice Investigation Of High-Risk Mortgages

James Langford for the Washington Examiner reports, General Electric has agreed to pay $1.5 billion to settle a Justice Department investigation of high-risk mortgages handled by its lending business before the 2008 financial crisis. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xbqREqf-ye4 Read More/Source/Credit/FairUse: https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/bu…    

Here is the Super Bowl Ad that Stole the Show

C. Douglas Baldwin for the Conservative Tribune reports, As America sat down to watch the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams square off in Super Bowl LIII, there was a certain subset for whom the game is of ancillary concern https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=poLs06J3ojg Read More/Source/Credit/FairUse: https://www.westernjournal.com/ct/wat…      

The trouble in Europe has only begun

by LoseMoneyAllWeek MacroVoices probably my favorite podcast has an amazing interview with grant Williams. This was on social risk; ie political extremeism. From the description: Erik asks Grant if we in a cyclical bear market and where he feels treasury bond yields are headed next. They discuss tensions between China and Taiwan, the rise of … Read more

Forget earnings or macro. This is why markets have rallied.

Since Powell backtracked and the PBOC stepped up liquidity injections, global money supply has roundtripped to March 18 levels. Forget earnings or macro. This is why markets have rallied. pic.twitter.com/ANxj0EcdD1 — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) February 5, 2019 https://twitter.com/BrentCarlileFX/status/1092754783402905605 global euphoria continues in EU & US pic.twitter.com/2AtqW8boiN — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) February 5, 2019 Dr Copper close … Read more

Stock buybacks have only been legal since 1982. Look beyond the messenger and realize there’s maybe some good reasons to restrict buybacks.

Buybacks were illegal throughout most of the 20th century because they were considered a form of stock market manipulation. But in 1982, the Securities and Exchange Commission passed rule 10b-18, which created a legal process for buybacks and opened the floodgates for companies to start repurchasing their stock en masse. https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/3/22/17144870/stock-buybacks-republican-tax-cuts Beyond the equity issue, there’s serious evidence … Read more

Can America Fight Off the Socialist Mind Virus?

by Daniel Carter In the early 1990’s, the famous biologist Richard Dawkins wrote an essay entitled Viruses of the Mind. In this essay, Dawkins describes religion as a mind virus that spreads from human to human for the sake of its own survival. Think whatever you want about Dawkins or his theories on religion. I … Read more

Consensus is Not Science

by Playaguy The late Michael Crichton, MD, author, film producer, put it this way: “I want to pause here and talk about this notion of consensus, and the rise of what has been called consensus science. I regard consensus science as an extremely pernicious development that ought to be stopped cold in its tracks. Historically, … Read more

On-going Canadian Crypto Exchange scandal — #1 Canadian exchange QuadrigaCX shuts down amid sole director’s sudden “death” in India, losing $150-250m in funds — lots of twists and turns, things aren’t adding up.

by RDS QuadrigaCX was the #1 canadian crypto exchange, had over 100,000 active accounts and has lost approx $150-$250M dollars of creditor’s funds (~$70M fiat and $150M crypto). For more information, see here: https://www.coindesk.com/quadriga-creditor-protection-filing CBC coverage: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2RO9-DcCP0c&feature=youtu.be (thousands of clients is wrong, too low) Affidavid from his widow Jen Robertson: https://www.scribd.com/document/398721572/Jennifer-Robertson-Affidavit Summary of relief filing: https://np.reddit.com/r/BitcoinCA/comments/amyhkr/summary_of_quadrigacx_creditors_relief_ccaa_filing/ … Read more

Precious Metals Analyst Says 2019 Could Be Gold’s Year

From Birch Gold Group This week, Your News to Know rounds up the latest news involving precious metals and the overall economy. Stories include: 2019 could be gold’s year, silver’s versatility could boost prices in 2019, and long gold is Goldman’s favorite commodity play. After a lengthy slumber, 2019 could be gold’s year With only a month into … Read more

TWITTER: Purged 2,000 Accounts for Challenging Official Narrative on Coup in Venezuela

Twitter has announced that it took down about 2,000 accounts in Venezuela, most of which it claimed were “engaged in a state-backed influence campaign.” This comes amid accusations of a US-led coup attempt. The San Francisco-based social media giant released a blog post on Thursday saying that it removed 1,196 accounts located in Venezuela which … Read more