Yes, We are Pricing an Emergency Cut
via mondaymorningmacro: At its most extreme this morning, I’d estimate the mkt was pricing in almost 10% probability of a 25bp cut by the Fed tomorrow. How do I figure? It’s based on FFQ9 (August Fed Funds futures). WARNING: This will involve some basic math. FFQ9 is the 30-day August Federal Funds futures contract. It’s priced as … Read more