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https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h6/Current/ Investors see the combination of rising money supply and ongoing supply hits as the setup for prices that stay high even if activity slows. That mismatch is what stagflation looks like in real time. US M2 money supply is rising at the fastest pace in five years. The last time money supply accelerated this … Read more
This is what the latest numbers are starting to show. Inflation is supposedly cooling. July CPI was up 3.4% from a year earlier, down slightly from 3.5% in June. But look at the bills people actually have to pay. Energy was still 14.7% higher than a year ago. Gasoline was up 24.6%. Electricity was up … Read more
A stock doesn’t know you bought it. It doesn’t know your research. It doesn’t care how confident you are. You can buy something at $100 because you think it’s worth $150, and watch it fall to $80 the next day. That doesn’t automatically mean your thesis was wrong. Markets don’t move on your schedule. Sometimes … Read more
by Michael The world is barreling toward a historic energy crunch that will be unlike anything that we have ever seen before. When fighting with Iran erupted earlier this year, the global economy was absolutely swimming in oil. We literally had far more oil than we needed, but now commercial inventories have gotten extremely tight … Read more
The crash is coming, it’s just a matter of time. Everything is overpriced. https://t.co/jxvpab9qE8 — Eric Spracklen 🇺🇸 (@EricSpracklen) August 17, 2026 🎯 pic.twitter.com/hNp2KRrjK6 — Amanda Goodall (@Amanda_Goodall) August 18, 2026 Squeeze time https://t.co/RmfO9pJb2g — Joseph Brown (@heresyfinancial) August 17, 2026 The AI job apocalypse keeps not showing up in the data. Travel agents were … Read more
Bill buying and verbal support are not stopping the 30-year from making new cycle highs. https://twitter.com/ekwufinance/status/2089048358081987053 @SecScottBessent Looks like long end going to 5.40! If oil keeps going higher long yields will be on their way to 6%. pic.twitter.com/c1qFivL1pZ — Will O'Hara, CMT (@WillOHara131) August 17, 2026 US 30-YEAR TREASURY YIELDS REACH 5.29%, HIGHEST SINCE … Read more
AI deals now make up nearly 40% of all long-dated investment-grade bond supply. The AI boom is now a credit story. Bloomberg counts about $70B of AI backstops sitting off balance sheets, with Nvidia guaranteeing up to 25% of some chip-financing deals. They cost nothing in the boom and come due in the bust, right … Read more
Americans are filming their own breaking point, and nothing is affordable anymore. A thirty-dollar roast at Aldi. One bag of groceries that rings up at $91. Fifteen people turned their cameras on and did the math out loud, a man working 41 hours at his first job who still DoorDashes at night, a woman who … Read more
by David Haggith Trump’s “Golden Era” only gilds the upper arm of the K-shaped economy, and “Big Beautiful Bill” and his fat and spendy siblings are a hyuge part of the problem. Big Beautiful Bill squats on your wages. The truth about the economy has been buried for a few years in flawed statistics and … Read more
The 🇯🇵 Japanese yen devaluation is very similar to what happened in 1992 Britain 🇬🇧 They tried saving the British pound by selling foreign assets & buying pounds. It failed Out of desperation they rapidly raised interest rates, which signaled panic. BoJ is in the same situation https://t.co/Vp3iBozOhL pic.twitter.com/eWSEwXrWB5 — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) August 17, 2026 … Read more
These “sound bites” will be used by Democrats during midterms. His messaging is terrible. So out of touch https://t.co/BWBASq34Ay — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August 16, 2026 Food prices in the US have shot up by 33% over the last seven years, the biggest jump in grocery prices in half a century, per NYP — unusual_whales … Read more
Fewer jobs, unaffordable homes, and high living costs are stopping young people from marrying and having kids. The population decline is no longer gradual. It is speeding up and will hit the workforce and pension system hard for decades. China doesn’t face a demographic crisis, it faces a demographic collapse. Rampant youth unemployment and unaffordable … Read more
The Fed spent 15 years trying to make markets safer. It built a $2.4 trillion time bomb instead. Hedge funds now hold $2.4 trillion of US Treasurys, up from $600 billion a decade ago, levered as much as 100 to 1. Every time the Fed backstops the market to kill risk, it invites more borrowing. … Read more
Gold funds just took in $6.3 billion last week, the biggest weekly inflow since January 2026. This happened even as UST yields sit near multi-year highs, the same pressure that had been weighing on the metal for months. Gold still pushed back up to the $4,400 zone this week and… https://t.co/8bFt5w9cor pic.twitter.com/ONrGuqmIsF — Austral Research … Read more
Before a collapse, nothing looks wrong. The numbers are printing records, the money is flowing, and the people warning about it are laughed out of the room. Last time it was housing. Today it's AI. The fire doesn't start when the rally ends. It starts inside the climb. Here's… pic.twitter.com/zwPL6ws3m6 — Jay Martin (@JayMartinBC) August … Read more
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 The SEC is preparing to allow US stocks to trade 24/7 on the blockchain. pic.twitter.com/mp1VOdG0Tq — Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) August 12, 2026 SEC Chair Paul Atkins is pushing an innovation exemption for tokenized listed securities. Bloomberg and others report the framework could enable continuous on-chain trading of stock tokens. Details may come as … Read more
U.S. homebuyer demand hit a record low in July, with just 967,000 buyers versus 1.46M sellers—a 51% seller surplus. Nearly 80% of major metros are now buyer’s markets, giving house hunters greater negotiating power. Miami leads with 154% more sellers than buyers, followed by Nashville and several Texas metros. High mortgage rates, elevated prices and … Read more
Just to clarify since quite a few seem to read it this way: I’m not comparing today’s market to 2008. I’m comparing the sentiment around Burry and how quickly people dismiss him as a joke. — JP Insights (@jpinsights) August 13, 2026 Cassandra Burry is a blessing now. Shorted Palantir- It mooned Shorted Nebuis – … Read more
Gasoline prices climbed on Wednesday, marking their highest level on record for this time of year. The national average for regular gas stood at $4.03 per gallon, according to AAA data. That’s about $0.16 higher than a month ago. The national average “is now at its highest ever level this late in the calendar year,” … Read more
The roughly $30 trillion Treasury market — widely seen as the bedrock of the global financial system — is facing a dangerous reckoning driven by a perfect storm of rising risks. On Wall Street, bond-market professionals are warning that the tremors could affect your portfolio — whether you own bonds or not. Long-end Treasury yields … Read more