Disney is going to the moon in the next 6 months?

by Wesia Everyone knows about Disney’s streaming service coming out in November (Disney+). And according to this article: link to article Investors are pricing in a 6-8 million subscriber base by the end of the year and a 10 million number would be huge for the stock. But I think investors are severely underestimating Disney+ … Read more

Short NYC?

by investingnoobhelp   NYC economy is dying for local NYC residents. It might seem okay from any outside view but when you touch base at what’s actually going on here, it looks like the city had been undergoing recession for quite a while. ​ Real estate(rent/purchase) is too expensive for the average family. Even in … Read more

Why Investors Might Not Want Rate Cuts

via upfina: The backdrop of the August PPI report is treasury yields have been rising quickly this week and the Fed is about to cut rates. Yields are still historically low, but if the selloff in treasuries is to continue, we will need to see a pickup in inflation. The Fed would rather PPI be modest … Read more

Banks in HK are showing signs of panicked need for deposits. The money is running : deposit rate offers: China Merchants Wing Lung, 5% for 1mo, HSBC, 4% for 7d

Banks in HK are showing signs of panicked need for deposits. The money is running : deposit rate offers: China Merchants Wing Lung, 5% for 1mo HSBC, 4% for 7d Hang Seng, 4% for 7d : All while overnight HIBOR is 67bps and 1mo HIBOR is 1.85%. #HKQUIETPANIC #HKexit — 🇺🇸 Kyle Bass 🇹🇼 (@Jkylebass) … Read more

Gundlach: There Will Be No U.S.-China Trade Deal, 75% Chance of a Recession in 2020; Scotiabank: The Fed and ECB Both Face Fresh Challenges

Jeffrey Gundlach, the chief executive of DoubleLine, said Thursday there will be no trade deal between the U.S. and China before the presidential election. At a presentation in London, Gundlach said President Trump is the “irresistible force” but that China has every incentive to attempt to wait out his presidency. Trump won’t do a deal … Read more

Global Central Banks Pushing Interest Rates Lower to Negative Territory

by confoundedinterest The CFR Global Monetary Policy Tracker is updated through September 1. The Index of Global Easing(-)/Tightening(+) holds steady at -6.68, significant easing, as markets anticipate a further Fed rate cut this month. Easing monetary policy are Brazil, Chile, Peru and Colombia in South America, the European Central Bank, Australia, China, Turkey, Poland and Finland. Tightening? Pakistan, Sweden, the UK and Canada. Almost 80% … Read more

Don’t Trust the Liquidity… Recession, and the Crisis, are Coming – GnS Economics

via gnseconomics: There is renewed hope in the markets after central banks, most-recently the ECB and China, have added easing measures. The working narrative is that these will, once again, renew global growth and allow governments, corporations and consumers to go even more deeply into debt. But will the increase in liquidity work this time around? … Read more

Draghi faced unprecedented #ECB revolt as German, French, Dutch governors resisted QE.

Draghi faced unprecedented #ECB revolt as German, French, Dutch governors resisted QE. Those 3 governors alone represent half of Eurozone GDP. Other dissenters incl governors from Austria, Estonia, as well as members on ECB’s Board incl Lautenschlaeger & Coeure, BBG reports. pic.twitter.com/odtaLy8i2Q — Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) September 12, 2019

UPDATE: US budget deficit smashes $1 trillion mark, highest in 7 years. Treasury paid $41.403 bn in interest on the public debt (gross) in August, the most ever.

UPDATE: US budget deficit smashes $1 trillion mark, highest in 7 years The U.S. government’s red ink for fiscal 2019 swelled past the $1 trillion mark in August, the first time that level has been eclipsed in seven years, the Treasury Department reported Thursday. The total shortfall rose to nearly $1.07 trillion, thanks to a … Read more

With either a Trump win or loss, civil war is likely on the horizon.

via americanthinker: The machinations of an illiberal left, on display in its ever-increasing violence accompanied by the ululations of a propagandist media in contravention of an imaginary “white supremacist” right, have riven the nation into diametrically opposed camps. The right will never accept socialism, while the left will accept nothing less. Trump Wins Those on the … Read more

JOEL KOTKIN: American Renewal: The Real Conflict Is Not Racial Or Sexual, It’s Between The Ascendant Rich Elites And The Rest Of Us.

via dailycaller: Despite the media’s obsession on gender, race and sexual orientation, the real and determining divide in America and other advanced countries lies in the growing conflict between the ascendant upper class and the vast, and increasingly embattled, middle and working classes. We’ve seen this fight before. The current conflict fundamentally reprises the end of … Read more

The Most Memorable Quote From Each Of The 10 Candidates During Thursday’s Democratic Presidential Debate…

by Michael Snyder Okay, so let’s talk about Thursday’s debate.  Apparently, every month the Democrats are going to subject us to at least one of these debates, and I suppose that this time around we should be thankful that they did not stretch things out over two nights.  All of the big news networks are … Read more

“Core” Inflation Rises Most Since Sep 2008, Powered by Services and Now Even the Peculiar Case of Durable Goods

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, http://www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter What would the Fed do if economic factors were all it looked at? Inflation as measured by the “core” Consumer Price Index, which removes the volatile food and energy segments, jumped in August at the highest rate in 11 years, by 2.39%, a smidgen above the prior peaks of July 2018 … Read more

Palace Revolt at the ECB, Legitimacy of Policy out the Window

Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, http://www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter Draghi’s desperate shenanigans thicken. ECB President Mario Draghi, who is on his way out, will, as we’re learning more and more, do anything to push his agenda and make it stick at the ECB long after he leaves, but whatever his agenda may be, it’s clearly unrelated to the European economy which has … Read more

Bidding Wars For US Homes Collapse To Eight-Year Low

via Zerohedge: Bidding wars for homes in Seattle, San Jose, and San Francisco have crashed in the past year, reflecting an alarming national trend, according to a new report from Redfin. The report found that the national bidding-war rate in August was 10.4%, down from 42% a year earlier. The rate printed at the lowest level since … Read more

Socialism Is Destroying America

Authored by Jacob Hornberger via The Future of Freedom Foundation, Leave it to the progressives (i.e., liberals or leftists) to point out, indirectly, that conservatives and Republicans are as devoted to socialism as leftists are. The point is well made in an article by Tim Butterworth, a former Democratic Party legislator in New Hampshire. The title … Read more