If the over night rate is yielding more than the 2Y, 3Y, 5Y and 7Y, what happens next?

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you probably should read this–> pic.twitter.com/zO2MMqC2hW — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) January 3, 2019 https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1080945381654126592 https://twitter.com/OccupyWisdom/status/1081024283994927104 One thing we have learned… the economy & financial markets crumble at 2.5% on Fed Funds… actually make that 2.4%… can’t even get that extra 10bps. pic.twitter.com/Bfo39zQvm8 — PlungeProtectionTeam (@gamesblazer06) January 3, 2019 Liquidity is strongly negatively correlated with volatility – … Read more

Here is a list of things that I think will drive Apple’s market valuation down a lot more (does not include upcoming global recession)

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by SlovakPotato007   Apple products are overpriced and not aligned with the market (30-40% price increase on most hardware products in 2018) There are many better or equal phones for 40-50% less (its important since iPhone is a significant portion of Apple’s revenue) If iPhones dont sell well, the service revenue from App store will … Read more

Are Establishment Republicans Plotting Against Trump?

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As grass roots conservatives have been slowly disappeared on social media, establishment propped up “Never Trumper” conservatives have been co-opting the MAGA movement’s audience. Many of these now disappeared grass conservative voices were paramount in helping the MAGA movement succeed in electing President Trump in 2016 and this is why the stakes are so high. … Read more

Plunge Protection Myths = Keynesian Economic Myths

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by Martin Armstrong QUESTION: What about what China did by buying stocks a few years ago to stop the hang sang from dropping LW   https://d33wjekvz3zs1a.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Summers-Economy-Not-Predictable.mp4?_=1 ANSWER: Do not confuse attempts to support a market from actually being able to do so. This is the same as Keynesian economics that government could prevent recessions. Larry Summers admitted … Read more

IRS won’t issue tax refunds during government shutdown

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via wdtv: (CNN/Donna Borak) — Americans may find themselves missing an agency they usually love to hate if the government shutdown persists: the Internal Revenue Service. A protracted fight between President Donald Trump and Democratic congressional leaders to fund the government could delay payouts of tax refunds to millions of Americans who are owed money. The country’s … Read more

Massive Hack of German politicians

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Private emails, credit cards, photos of most politicians in Germany have been hacked and published Hope that the Merkhell crime syndicate goes down the toilet now it was the russians as usual LOL via bild.de: Following the massive Hacker attack on politicians and private persons, the German government calls a Cyber Alarm. The Federal office for … Read more

Do Documents of the Government Belong to the Government or the People?

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by Martin Armstrong COMMENT: Dear Marty, Rudy Giuliani, Trump‘s lawyer and former mayor of New York, says Julian Assange of Wikileaks should not be prosecuted and compares his work to the Pentagon Papers. Kind regards, MS REPLY: I totally disagree with the attempt to prosecute Julian Assange of Wikileaks or Snowden. The argument for his prosecution is based upon this … Read more

Yellow Vests Becoming World Wide Movement

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by Martin Armstrong The Yellow Vest Movement that began in France, is spreading. It appeared also in Belgium and it spread to Canada as well. The French arrested the leaders of the Yellow Vest Movement calling them an anti-government charging them for organizing an unauthorized protest, as authorities adopt a tougher approach to try to curb the demonstrations. During the weekend … Read more

Safe havens are surging. What this means for stocks

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by Troy While the U.S. stock market has been trending downwards from December 2018 – present, safe havens (e.g. gold and Yen) have been going up. Go here to understand our fundamentals-driven long term outlook. Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable medium term direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the … Read more

Danielle Park: Margin Calls, Share Buybacks, and Real Estate

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Talk Digital Network, Released on 1/3/19 Portfolio Manager, attorney, finance author, a regular guest on North American media. Danielle Park is the author of the best selling myth-busting book “Juggling Dynamite: An insider’s wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts,” as well as a popular daily financial blog: http://www.jugglingdynamite.com. Danielle worked as an attorney … Read more

Censorship vs. Suppression

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via Eric Peters: Libertarians – me included – have wrestled long and hard with this one: Is it censorship when private entities do it? No – not in a legal sense. Because these private entities do not have the power to forbid publication, per se. But they do have the power to suppress (and even to punish) publication when the entities at issue effectively control … Read more

TIM COOK TO INVESTORS:

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People Bought Fewer New iPhones Because They Repaired Their Old Ones. And they repaired their old ones because the new ones aren’t delivering the innovation and performance that used to make people scrap their perfectly-good older phones to buy the new ones. Possibly because Apple’s CEO is spending more time on social-justice nattering than on … Read more

IT’S AN ENTIRELY POLITICAL TERM, SO IT MEANS WHATEVER POLITICS REQUIRES IT TO MEAN AT THE MOMENT

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The Ever-Shifting Definition of “Assault Weapons:” The phrase has been used to promote bans on almost every type of gun. The very heterogeneous group of so-called “assault weapons” has only two things in common. First of all, none of them are automatics or machine guns. Gun prohibition advocates have very effectively created and then exploited … Read more

Harry Reid is dying of pancreatic cancer

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by Dr. Eowyn Senator Harry Reid (D-NV) was Senate Majority Leader from 2007 to 2015 — credited with pushing Obamacare into law — and Senate Minority Leader from January 3, 2015 to January 3, 2017, when he retired from the U.S. Senate. Remember Reid’s strange injuries? On May 14, 2018, Reid underwent surgery after being diagnosed with … Read more

More US Troops To Be Deployed To Southern US Border – Will Build 160 Miles Of Fencing

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from Zero Hedge More US troops will be deployed to the Southern border to “construct or upgrade” 160 miles of fending, as well as provide medical care to thousands of migrants arriving from Central America, reports NPR, citing military sources. The Pentagon will foot the bill out of its discretionary funding for the deployment and fence construction along the … Read more

The State Department Issues A Travel Advisory As The U.S. And China Steamroll Toward Open Conflict

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by Michael Snyder The U.S. State Department has officially issued a level two advisory for travel to China, and U.S. citizens are being warned that they could “be detained” and “subjected to prolonged interrogations and extended detention”.  That sounds extremely ominous, but most Americans typically ignore warnings like this and continue with their normal travel … Read more