by WARREN MOSLER China exports falling with tariffs: China’s November export, import growth shrinks, showing weak demand US exports turning south as well? The deceleration that started with the collapse of oil capex in Dec 2014 took a brief zig …
by FS FS Insider recently spoke with the Chris Whalen, Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors LLC and editor of The Institutional Risk Analyst. Whalen discusses the big move in high yield spreads, tightening liquidity, and preparations for a credit bust (see Large Funds …
credit spreads blowing out again pic.twitter.com/cz97yAUrKb — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) December 7, 2018 https://twitter.com/TeddyVallee/status/1071082524418433027 pic.twitter.com/mpIa0ODpTV — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) December 7, 2018 remember: when stocks get ahead of credit – that is when stocks puke pic.twitter.com/hVM8mdhPyP — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) December 7, 2018 …
Credit-card delinquencies, application rejections, and involuntary account closures are all on the upswing, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The Fed says these developments are “potentially concerning” given the strength of the economy and …
Payroll growth slows in November as labor market tightens Private payrolls grew by 179,000 in November, below Wall Street estimates of 195,000, according to ADP and Moody’s Analytics. The service sector added 163,000, led by professional and business services. Medium-size …
From Business Insider: The economy is robust, unemployment is sitting at 3.7%, its lowest mark in nearly half a century, and interest rates, though moving upward, are still relatively low. So why are credit-card delinquencies, application rejections, and involuntary account closures all on …
by John Rubino Alasdair Macleod on the coming “inflationary credit crisis” … Bill Black: Deutsche Bank is a criminal enterprise that might bring down the global financial system … Jim Rickards explains the coming “monetary reset” … Peter Schiff: “We’re …
CDXIG5Y led this $VIX explosion – please be careful there is a credit problem developing in US pic.twitter.com/PfrPIUs7EO — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) December 4, 2018 JPMORGAN'S DIMON SAYS SHARE BUYBACKS SHOULD NOT BE DONE WHEN STOCK IS EXPENSIVE now he tells …
#Credit has been on the move, along with #equities. Equities alone were never going to be enough to sway the #Fed but equities + credit = another story. #data #dataviz pic.twitter.com/j6RLKDsoWj — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) November 30, 2018 It …
via etf daily news Low interest rates led companies to pile on debt for M&A, and the amount of debt rated in the lowest tier of investment grade is near a record, representing roughly 35 percent of corporate bonds and …
via Jeremy Hill A credit market guidepost suggests the turmoil in high-grade bonds isn’t over yet. The CDX investment-grade index, a measure of the cost of default protection for high-grade bonds, surged during the trading day Monday and at one point …
“Suddenly America is the largest oil producer, that was me, people… Have you checked where your stocks were when I came in office and where they are now? … Just say thank you, please.” – Obama VIDEO: “Suddenly America is …
You'll be shocked to learn in this chart that the breaking point in credit markets is right here—> pic.twitter.com/CXsCGOWgHv — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) November 28, 2018 U.S. junk bond yields reach the highest levels in more than two years. Borrowing costs …
from Financial Survival Network John Grace joins us again… Black Friday – Retailers earn 40% of their sales in this short holiday season time frame. And many of us never cast a shadow in the doorway of a store. We shop online. …
via Christopher Anstey Morgan Stanley sees the U.S. economy in a sharp slowdown next year, along with a pick-up in global inflation that keeps monetary tightening intact. For investors, that means get out of credit, stock up on cash and head …
by Dr. Eowyn Bloomberg reports, Nov. 21, 2018, that the Chinese Communist government is on course with a program to track and rate the behavior of each of its 1.3 billion people and assign social credits or points that will be used …
via zerohedge: The “Beijing Further Optimization of the Business Environment Action Plan (2018-2020)” has just been distributed to all district committees, district governments, municipal party committees, local government ministries and commissions bureaus, various head offices, multiple people’s organizations, colleges, and universities. The new report …
via Tasos Vossos Credit markets are set for the worst year since the global financial crisis as investors abandon hope of a late-2018 rally. High-yield and investment-grade notes are headed for losses in both euros and dollars, the first time all …
Kids don’t need much. Lots of great memories can be had without digging into debt. 3 in 10 Americans Are Still Paying for Last Year’s Holiday Expenditures But that won’t stop them from tacking on still more debt. “Holiday …
Credit market, stock markets, carry trades, blow up just on this little move….. pic.twitter.com/uslkej6c6e — M/1_LP (@MI_Investments) November 22, 2018 When credit initially starts contracting it leads to more credit contracting NOT LESS until there is sufficient free credit …
via David Yong (Bloomberg) — Signs of credit stress globally are increasing. In Asia, prices for the region’s riskiest debt slid to the lowest level in almost seven years, and the cost to protect against default climbed amid a sell-off in …
via GPC Last week the markets rallied on hype and hope of a potential trade deal between the US and China… and the fact it was options expiration week. Wit those items out of the way, the markets will now …
via Jeremy Hill A credit market guidepost suggests the turmoil in high-grade bonds isn’t over yet. The CDX investment-grade index, a measure of the cost of default protection for high-grade bonds, surged during the trading day Monday and at one point …
Wolf Richter wolfstreet.com, www.amazon.com/author/wolfrichter So what’s going on here? In the third quarter, the “delinquency rate” on credit-card loan balances at commercial banks other than the largest 100 banks – so the delinquency rate at the 4,705 smaller banks in the US …
by Chris I’ve been waiting for the junk debt universe to signal “game on.” It’s doing that now. Along with the credit spreads blowing out (see above) the Credit Default Swap (CDS) market is blowing up and out for junk …
by Graham Summers via Gains, Pains & Capital Last week the markets rallied on hype and hope of a potential trade deal between the US and China… and the fact it was options expiration week. With those items out of the way, the …
Credit bubbles caused by the central banks always burst….https://t.co/qgd75cqR2R — Dave Collum (@DavidBCollum) November 18, 2018 The good times are coming to an end in the corporate debt market, and this week’s turmoil in General Electric Co. credit is a sign that …
via Crisis By The Phoenix Global growth is officially dead. The markets picked up on this first, with Copper, Lumber, Industrial Metals and other economically sensitive asset classes collapsing starting in May. Looking at those charts, it was easy to single out the …
via Pimco Financial media and investors have been focusing on the BBB segment of the U.S. investment grade (IG) corporate bond market this year. At $3.1 trillion in market capitalization (nearly quadrupled from a decade ago), BBBs constitute nearly half …
by Charles Hugh-Smith Other governments are keenly interested in following China’s lead. I’ve been pondering the excellent 1964 history of the Southern Song Dynasty’s capital of Hangzhou, Daily Life in China on the Eve of the Mongol Invasion, 1250-1276 by Jacques Gernet, …