By Lance Roberts Recession indicators a ringing loudly. Yet, the Fed remains focused on its inflation fight, as repeatedly noted by Jerome Powell following this week’s FOMC meeting. During his press conference, he specifically made two critical comments. The first …
by Player896 On the technical front: Red line is VIX inversed -> clear correlation with market peaks and bottoms -> VIX looks to be approaching the end of its upswing as it has fallen to the <20 level CNN Money’s Fear …
Latifa Alkhanjary via Kinesis In this week’s episode of Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire sits down with hedge fund expert and metals analyst, Dave Kranzler, to uncover the market indicators that point to the metals sector readying for the next move higher. The industry …
2) This alone is a pretty good leading indicator.https://t.co/vwQRm2ER3A — QF Research (@ResearchQf) November 18, 2022 Forbes: Yield Curve Inversion Steepens; now worse than it was for the Great Recession The yield curve is now deeply inverted. Three months …
My dad would tell the best stories. It seems that he was a bit of a “scrapper” back in the day. He grew up in the St. Louis area, graduated from high school weighing no more than 100 pounds, and …
Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse are tanking more right now than the financial crisis of 2009. There are so many market indicators that we are heading towards a major financial crisis. $DB $CB pic.twitter.com/AfkCX3yr9V — James Melville 🚜 (@JamesMelville) October …
by BoatSurfer600 It’s clear now in hindsight with all of the late cycle indicators flashing red, that the pandemic was not a true bear market. It was merely the pullback prior to the final melt-up of the post-Lehman rally. A massive …
The Daily Gold, Released on 8/18/22 Keep your eyes on the Gold/Silver ratio and the US Dollar. They have been correcting but could be recovering now. If they make higher highs it would be a warning signal for markets. Higher …
Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) released its FY22 Q1 earnings on Thursday after the market closed. The trading platform posted a revenue of $299 million, down 43% from a year earlier and an EPS loss of -$0.45. Robinhood has consistently underperformed ever since …
Yield curve, one of the best indicators of #recession, is dropping rapidly. #Fed is going to have a problem. (They should have been hiking rates in 2020-2021 as they were flooding the #markets with #QE) pic.twitter.com/ksztY9p3Qo — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) …
by laflammaster (ex: fed $4.5T bailout in 2019) by up to two years. Look at 2000, 2007, 2008, 2014, 2015, 2019. Those indicators are now below 0 since mid-2019. Caption: 1999 and on Caption: 2015 and on
Inflation indicators are “flashing red alarm” according to former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, who warns that the Biden administration’s economic stimulus “is providing demand well in excess over the next couple of years of any plausible estimate of the economy’s …
This is Sibel Edmonds with Newsbud reporting on the ground from Turkey. This will be another quick video for those of you with a keen eye and critical mind for geopolitical indicators, games and warning signs. I am going to …
Mar 14 – FS Insider interviews Variant Perception’s Tian Yang to get an update on their outlook for the U.S., China and elsewhere. Tian discusses the message coming from leading indicators and liquidity measures… https://static.financialsense.com/audio/2019-03/yang_clip-da02a8765cf.mp3 https://www.financialsense.com/podcast/19003/leading-indicators-and-liquidity-declining-says-variant-perceptions-tian-yang
via @TaviCosta: Well, I believe today’s market has remarkable similarities to late 1920’s.
by WARREN MOSLER Agent Orange, AKA Tariff Man, taking down the global economy: Intel Projects Slower Revenue Growth This Year (WSJ) Intel Corp. reported a 9% gain in revenue. Customers’ robust appetite for server chips boosted data-center businesses by 45% …
by WARREN MOSLER Euro area business growth close to stalling at 5½ year low in January (Markit) Flash Eurozone PMI Composite Output Index at 50.7 (51.1 in December). Services PMI Activity Index at 50.8 (51.2 in December). Manufacturing PMI Output …
Bloomberg article tl;dr – Compared with hard economic data, [market-based models that predict recessions are] more forward-looking. But not only can markets get it wrong, they’re also prone to rapid reversal, undermining their reliability as the harbingers of doom. “You …
Via Dana Lyons’ Tumblr, The following is a complementary look at some of the evidence behind our recommendation to TLS members to trim some of their recently added long exposure. The so-called “risk-on” move in stocks continues, with the market …
Jason talks about leading economic indicators like demand for chemicals for the auto, housing and electronics as well as Chinese demand for chemicals flashing warning signals and FedEx, who ships goods for consumers and businesses all over the world warning …
by Kimble Charting CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE The above 2-pack looks at a couple of very important sectors of our economy, Home Builders and U.S. Concrete. Both have been hit very hard this year, declining large percentages. Both have been much weaker than …
Investing is the key to building wealth, but all investments carry some degree of risk. So how do you know whether the risk is worth taking? These are some of the key indicators of a good investment. The Company’s Information …
via @BerkeleyJr Wall Street veteran Art Cashin told CNBC on Monday that there are a variety of indicators that show the stock market may be ready for a pullback. Cashin said on “Squawk on the Street” that Goldman Sachs’ bear market …
via bbg The earliest indicators for China’s economy show that the pace of expansion slowed for a fourth month in August, highlighting the pressure for the government to push through pro-growth policies. The data suggest the economy weakened further as …
by Jesse For those who care about gold such as myself, in the just released CFTC data for the week ended Tuesday, speculators went net short for the first time since December 2001 when gold was priced at $275 an …
by BainCapitalist There are many, and deciding which ones are better than others is a subject of huge debate in macroeconomics. I’ll give you a couple examples: Inflation rate. This can more specifically be CPI, PCE, or a core measure. The …
There are WAY more than 7 indicators, but it’s important to highlight of a few major ones and constantly keep an eye on them. Let me know what other indicators you like to look at regularly! It’s pretty obvious that …
by Kimble Charting CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE Over the last 30-months, Lumber and Homebuilders have been much stronger than the S&P 500. Both were upside leaders as Homebuilders gained 50% more than the S&P and Lumber doubled S&P gains since 1/1/16 Not only did they outperform …
by Daniel Carter We are coming up on the longest economic expansion in recorded history, which means we should all be acutely aware of anything that might derail it. The permabull will tell you that economic expansions don’t die from old …