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.@gilliantett with @Convertbond “Our indicators tell us, we’re very close to a Lehman-like drawdown,” argues Larry McDonald, a former strategist at Société Générale who now runs The Bear Traps report. … Read more
by UPFINA The S&P 500 hasn’t had a 1% or more move in 72 straight trading sessions (as of Friday). That’s the longest streak since October 2018. The longest streak in … Read more
Despite talk of a global uptick, the indicators on global trade all point down. @markets via @SoberLook pic.twitter.com/TVwemuAA9w — Adam Tooze (@adam_tooze) December 1, 2019 One can only anticipate a … Read more
via moneymaven: FRED, the St. Louis Fed data repository, has added 286 new indicators of uncertainty. FRED Expands World Uncertainty Index Data The St. Louis Fed announces FRED Expands World Uncertainty Index … Read more
By Harry Dent When David Stockman spoke at our IES conference in October, he had a whole slew of charts that showed that the main street economy had nothing to do with the Wall … Read more
by FS Following our Big Picture discussion on a rebound in M1 Global Money Supply, it increasingly looks like we have seen a bottom in global leading economic indicators (LEIs) and … Read more
The recession clock is ticking faster. 5-yr vs. 3-m spread now inverted for almost 8 months! Only happened 4 other times: At the peak of the housing bubble.In the midst … Read more
Asia stocks decline amid renewed slowdown fears Stocks in Asia slipped on Wednesday amid renewed fears of a global economic slowdown. The Institute for Supply Management said U.S. manufacturing activity … Read more
By Harry Dent The yield curve first flirted with inversion earlier this year. That occurred clearly recently when the 2-year Treasury bond yield crossed below the 10-year, and it has … Read more
by srsroccoreport If we look at certain indicators in the silver market, the price is setting up for a big move. It seems as if mainstream investors are now becoming more … Read more
by Faceh I will put forward a huge disclaimer first: I am of the mind that nobody can truly ‘predict’ a recession in the absence of some clear and obvious event that … Read more
via Alastair Williamson: yup – industrial slowdown is very real Global PMI Heatmap Column: Global economy is probably in recession – Reuters LONDON (Reuters) – The global economy is probably … Read more
via innovationexcellence: While there is no one magic indicator of the market’s future, these three may provide some of the best insights into the current and future state of the economy. … Read more
by FS With the current U.S. economic expansion hitting record-setting territory, economic anxiety is setting in for some as the Fed eyes a rate cut. Financial Sense Insider spoke with Nick … Read more
by confoundedinterest Danger Will Robinson! Danger! The US index of Leading Economic Indicators slumped by the most in over 40 months. On the other hand, the index was negative MoM sixteen … Read more
by WARREN MOSLER Light vehicle sales peaked a while back: Been helping to support the $US: Eurozone Retail Sales Fall Unexpectedly Retail trade in the Euro Area fell 0.3% in … Read more