by Troy With the 10 year – 3 month yield curve now inverted, it is time to look at the long term bearish case for stocks. Long Term Only 2 factors affect the stock market’s long term outlook: valuations and …
Investors are SELLING. Can people understand that it’s public information documented for everyone to see? But of course, the 7 shares of Amazon type investor doesn’t actually want to know information. They want to feel comfortable that each of their …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oe5ZmgpPgNc Dow drops more than 450 points, S&P 500 posts worst day since January amid global growth worries https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/22/stock…
by Troy The stock market rally continues, with the S&P 500 now within 3% of its all-time highs. Meanwhile, various leading economic indicators are showing similarities to previous bull market tops. Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable medium term …
by visualcapitalist Understanding the stock market can be a daunting task for any new investor. Not only are there many concepts and technical terms to decipher, but nearly everybody will try to give you conflicting pieces of advice. For example, if …
by Graham Summers of Gains, Pains, & Capital In the last two months every single Fed Hawk has given up on normalization. Every. Single. One. Throughout 2018 Fed Chair Powell maintained that he was focused EXCLUSIVELY on normalizing Fed policy by: 1) Reducing …
by Chris Vermeulen of The Technical Traders Our research team believes a moderately mild price rotation will unfold over the next 30 to 60 days where the US Stock Market will rotate downward. Particularly, the $INDU (Dow Jones Industrials) should move lower towards …
by Martin Armstrong QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, In your blog you talked about a global recession and hard landing. Does this mean the US stock market will rally because funds will flow from the rest of the world to the US stock …
Rich Dad Radio Show, Released on 3/20/19 The best time to make money in the stock market is when markets plummet. Alexander Elder joins Robert & Kim to discuss the techniques he uses to profit during down markets. Robert Kiyosaki …
by Troy While the stock market went nowhere today, various indicators are demonstrating some complacency in the financial markets. It would be a mistake to automatically assume that “complacency” = bearish. Knee-jerk reactions aren’t usually right. Let’s determine the stock …
By John Mauldin Every investor knows that “past performance is not indicative of future results.” Yet many embrace century-long averages as a reasonable guess for future returns. Back in the late 1990s, we were told that the long-term average return (~10%) …
by Troy As the stock market rallies, it never ceases to amaze me how popular crash-analogues can be. The 1937 analogue has been quite popular recently, constantly shared and reshared on social media and trading blogs. Go here to understand our …
Here we go again. What began the crash in October is now about to start. The only way we won’t see a contraction in April is if the central bank activity exceeds that which the buybacks would normally be buying …
via CNBC: Facebook shares extended their losses Monday after a downgrade from analysts at Needham. There’s growing concern that more executives could leave following the departure of Chris Cox, the company’s product chief, who resigned last week. State attorneys general …
by Troy The stock market continues its almost relentless rally, with only 1 weekly pullback in the past 12 weeks. Meanwhile, many traders who spot various “divergences” in the markets are asking “what is the stock market smoking?” Go here to …
via MarketWatch: Bubble? Plenty of pundits have compared the trading action in today’s market to the bursting of the dot-com bubble, but the latest Wall Street type to make that connection isn’t your typical broken-clock bear. Here’s what longtime bull …
by Troy The S&P is bumping up against 2810. Meanwhile, volatility remains subdued and growth stocks have significantly outperformed value stocks since the start of 2018. Go here to understand our fundamentals-driven long term outlook. Let’s determine the stock market’s most …
by Troy The stock market has gone nowhere over the past 2 weeks. This is normal because most of the time, the stock indices simply aren’t as volatile as other markets like commodities. The big news today is that “bond …
by Sven Carlin Summary Ingredion could be a defensive food stock offering growth and a high yield. The dividend yield is 2.7% while the buyback yield for 2018 was 10%. Given the PE ratio of just 13 combined with expected earnings …
via RecessionAlert: We have updated the RecessionALERT Valuation Index (RAVI) forecast models for the SP500 using fourth quarter 2018 data. Stock market valuations continue to pose a “clear and present danger” to positive economic and SP500 returns outcomes and have worsened …
via CNBC: The investment bank projected that full-year earnings per share forecasts for S&P 500 companies are likely to further fall between 4 percent and 5 percent. Forecasts for 2019 S&P 500 earnings per share growth are already down 6 …
via silverdoctors: Nothing has been fixed. Take Venezuela. Now we get one of the tried-and-true flush ’em out tactics: The blackout. I wonder how long it will be before we surround Maduro and start blaring Metallica’s “Enter Sandman” 24/7 because everybody …
by visualcapitalist Putting hard-earned money in the stock market can make some people nervous. It’s well known that a correction can occur at any time, and the fear of market crashes can make even the most seasoned investors to make questionable decisions. While …
by Brian Maher of Daily Reckoning After “the sharpest rally since the global financial crisis recovery” — Goldman’s phrase — has the stock market peaked for the year? Today we weigh the evidence… and hazard a conclusion. The major averages jumped …
from Zero Hedge As markets sink further into the red during what will likely become their worst week of the year, more skeptical reports about the likelihood of a deal have emerged. On the heels of a report that a tentative summit …
by Chris Kimble The NYSE Index is facing a very important price level as Momentum and the MACD are at the highest levels in a year! The 9-week rally from the late December lows has the NYSE index facing the October, November, …
Via Marketwatch Jeremy Grantham, an investor credited with predicting the 2000 and 2008 downturns, told CNBC on Thursday that investors should get inured to lackluster returns in the stock market for the next two decades, after a century of handsome …
LONDON (Reuters) – A $10 billion wipeout over the last week has compounded the worst start to a year for equity flows since 2008, Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategists said on Friday. Citing data from flow-tracker EPFR, BAML’s analysts …
via thefelderreport: The following post was based on an excerpt from a recent report published in The Felder Report PRO. Warren Buffett recently said wrote, “Prices are sky-high for businesses possessing decent long-term prospects.” And I wouldn’t be surprised if he was …
via YAHOO: Corporate executives cash out of their own stock more after their firms announce stock buybacks than on a typical day. And in the long run, the share prices of those companies underperform. This is according to a letter …