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The Setup For a Long and Deep Crisis is In Place—Here’s How I’m Preparing Financially
by Jeff Clark, Senior Analyst, GoldSilver.com It’s gotten to the point where reading daily news reports can induce feelings of depression and anxiety. Maybe you have similar reactions when you see a constant barrage of negative headlines. They’re everywhere, and …
This sounds ridiculous, but if you bought equal value amounts of both VIXM (vix mid term futures) and SVXY (x0.5 inverse vix), you would make money right now no matter what point you bought them at.
by adayofjoy Simultaneously going long and short on VIX sounds like a guaranteed recipe for a loss via decay, yet miraculously the math works out if you picked the right ETFs for the job. SVXY and VIXM are vix ETFs …
Bond Speculators have piled into the largest SHORT position in history. With so much riding on recovery/reflation – if markets go back to risk-off/deflation, it could trigger a very painful unwind.
https://twitter.com/MacroCharts/status/1260162808127393793 One of my most important Models is approaching the most overbought level in history. This is the 18th signal in 20+ years – most signals WITHOUT a Breadth Thrust led to big declines. Stocks could rally into month-end, but …
Investors: Pricing in too much of a recovery? Price has moved well ahead of earnings.
Investors: Pricing in too much of a recovery? Price has moved well ahead of earnings. Here, the drawdown & subsequent recovery in the #SPX price index against the drawdown in various earnings estimates, including fiscal yrs 2020, ‘21 & ‘22 …
Economic Catastrophe: Millions Upon Millions Of Jobs That Have Been Lost Are Never Coming Back
by Michael Snyder Do you personally know people that have lost jobs in 2020? I do, and I am not sure what to tell them. As is the case all over the U.S. right now, there is hope that some …
Even before Corona, it was clear; the Fed can’t reduce the size of its balance sheet.
What you said in chart form – Fed's balance sheet vs Nasdaq. The only time the Fed attempted to return its balance sheet to pre-2008 levels led to the huge DEC 2018 sell-off. Even before Corona, it was clear; the …
A Once-In-A-Lifetime Warnings For Oil Investors
By Robert Rapier Last week Royal Dutch Shell did something that would have been nearly unthinkable at the beginning of this year. The company cut its dividend for the first time in 75 years. This is remarkable considering the ups and downs of …
Will Shale Giant Chesapeake Go Bankrupt?
By Tsvetana Paraskova U.S. shale gas pioneer Chesapeake Energy said on Monday it was evaluating a Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection reorganization—along with other options–as the low oil and gas prices weigh heavily on its finances and substantial outstanding debt. Chesapeake Energy—which helped …
The year 2020 has brought us two black swans so far, and each will have potent consequences for the Imperium Americanum…
by Patrick Armstrong via Strategic Culture Foundation A black swan is slang for an unexpected event with large consequences. 2020 has brought us two so far: the COVID-19 pandemic and the collapse of oil prices. Each will have potent consequences for …
35% Real Unemployment (And Most Americans Are Optimistic Their Jobs Will Come Back Soon?)
by Jason Burack of Wall St For Main St Jason talks about the record unemployment numbers and jobless claims in the US over the last 7 weeks and how the numbers are actually worse than that headlines. Also, in a recent poll a …
DD: Next up on Retail Bankruptcies: Express Inc.
by YouKantTaxThis Now that we’re starting to reopen brick and mortar across the nation and the first news of second wave is finally starting to emerge across Europe and Asia, I’m finally confident enough to release my research. Express Inc. …
Retail investors (Robinhood retards) are pumping the market and why we may be nearing the top of the bounce seen since the end of March.
by opiablame Goldman Sachs says this market rally is being driven by FOMO and that now it's due for an 18% drop https://t.co/bOBvSHtlsP via @LJKawa pic.twitter.com/K7hUHFlbv6 — Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) May 11, 2020 Google Trends for searches like ‘Stocks’ and …
Huge volume on August $5 puts on GE
by dickpal Disclaimer: This information is only for educational purposes. Do not make any investment decisions based on the information in this article. Do you own due diligence.
The 2010-2020 Liquidity-Fueled Asset Bubble
by ASoftEngStudent For this week’s DDDD (data-driven DD), I’ll be going more in-debt depth about a post I made a month ago, where I showed evidence about the stock market being in a bubble, and what might happen in the near future …
Banks Continue To Send Bearish Divergence Message, At 800 Pound Resistance!
by Kimble Charting Is the Banking Index sending a caution message to stocks? It has for the past 28-months and it is experiencing a major resistance test of late! The Banking Index (BKX) started underperforming the broad market back in January of 2018, which …
Don’t Fight the Fed. But Did You Forget About Lehman Collapse?
What we’re seeing today is NOT 2008. It’s NOT 2000. It’s unique. But the mistakes are always the same. Too much intervention helping out the wrong groups. The majority get screwed over. Wealth gap increases. Pattern repeats. If people learn …
Tech is about to get mauled by a giant grizzly bear
pic.twitter.com/6ks3c6pxSJ — gmbluedestiny (@gmbluedestiny) May 11, 2020 If the states really open up it could be a sell the news event? Especially when 70% of the economy will decide not to open up or even go outside.. Tricky market! — …
Don’t be Surprised if the Stock Market Drop hard in less than a month.
by Nerd_199 According to “analysis” their are hoping that States Opening back up will lead to encomey going bsck up..In reality their Just buying time. Looking back at the last example 1918 flu Pandemic have some city opening back which …
Global equities for the second time in a year price in a growth rebound that our Real Time PMI model does not confirm.
Global equities for the second time in a year price in a growth rebound that our Real Time PMI model does not confirm. pic.twitter.com/QdylITZdPI — Teddy Vallee (@TeddyVallee) May 10, 2020 "The worst recession since the Great Depression is prompting …
It Is Much Worse Than You Are Being Told
by Michael Snyder For a long time I warned that our economic bubble would burst and that we would plunge into a nightmarish economic collapse. Now it has happened, and it turns out that fear of COVID-19 was the “black …
It Gets Rough for US Airlines: Why Buffett Dumped His Airline Stocks Though There Was Blood on the Tarmac, Which Should Have Been a Buy Signal
Just can’t catch a break: Friday after hours, United disclosed it abandoned its junk-bond offering after investors balked. Shares fell. By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. Here’s what US airlines are going through: The TSA has been reporting the number of daily checkpoint screenings. …
Simple economics to remember why recession cannot be escaped
by Foufou190 So I read things here that I agree and disagree with and I never claim having the absolute truth about the future. This being said I want to make a simple purely economic point for those who obviously …
Consumer Discretionary DD
by AnimalTom23 Skip to “Actual DD” if you want to short story. Position at the bottom. Many moons ago I gave up trying to find a real job. After 20+ years in the restaurant industry I have come to realize …
Why SPY will drop to 230 within two weeks
by eth_trader_12 One thing I have learned trading this market for many years is that the fundamentals always play out. The question is all about timing. If you sold when SPX was near the bottom, you’d be massively screwed. The …
Some investment advice from an autist
by CptTonyStark I see so many people here losing their life savings at a critical point in their lives so I’ll repeat my investment philosophy that has allowed me to be 270% up YTD, and I’ve already taken out my …
The Economist: Financial markets have got out of whack with the economy. Something has to give.
Re the dangers of the massive decoupling of #WallStreet from #MainStreet : From the editorial in @TheEconomist on "The market v the real economy: Financial #markets have got out of whack with the #economy. Something has to give."https://t.co/5Kt6Wyd5nj#investors #investing pic.twitter.com/jDzZSOjNs0 …
The near doubling of death predictions in a closely followed model underscores a frustrating reality: Many basic facts about the coronavirus remain unknown
The near doubling of death predictions in a closely followed model underscores a frustrating reality: Many basic facts about the coronavirus remain unknown https://t.co/vEkSuIwhKI — The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) May 10, 2020 As researchers begin to test homeless individuals …
Alert: Millions Of American Families To Be Evicted By July
by AC Thanks To The Great Corporate States of America. They Don’t Care About Us. Millions Simply Won’t Be Able To Pay Back The Backlogged Payments. So Those Who Are 3 Months Behind Their Mortgage / Rent Will Be Evicted…..Once …
Truck Driver Apocalypse is here! More jobs lost in April than entire 2008 financial crisis!
“It was ugly. The trucking industry lost 88,300 jobs, and we lost more jobs in one month than we did in all of 2008,” https://www.ttnews.com/articles/trucking-sheds-88300-jobs-april 88,300 truck drivers lost their jobs in April, and it’s the biggest trucking job loss …