Unrealistic Stock Return Expectations

by UPFINA The June ADP report beat estimates and estimates for private sector job creation in the BLS reading. Let’s see if that matters. We expect it to be relevant because all signs point to a solid BLS reading. For now, …

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5 year inflation expectations is about to hit the highest level since 2005… US10Y yield 1.90% for june – UBS forecast

  US10Y yield 1.90% for june – UBS forecast — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) May 18, 2021 5 year inflation expectations is about to hit the highest level since 2005 pic.twitter.com/SkiZAolohi — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) May 18, 2021 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1394964910795366400 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1394610668645519361 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1394568304824623106 Warren Buffett …

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US Inflation Expectations continue to rise, now at their highest levels since 2013… Central banks now print during times of recessions & during times of non recessions.

US Inflation Expectations continue to rise, now at their highest levels since 2013 (10-year breakevens). pic.twitter.com/ikGNLtFTcD — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) April 27, 2021 Everyone is tweeting pictures of lumber, but commodities from copper to corn are popping pic.twitter.com/3ay9DUAFdf — The …

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AOC says Biden ‘exceeded’ progressive expectations in first 100 days… Biden lose net 3 house seats… toughen tax enforcement to help pay for his economic agenda…

AOC says Biden ‘exceeded’ progressive expectations in first 100 days Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez weighed in on Biden’s first 100 days in office Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gave President Biden a progressive thumbs up for his 100 days in office Friday night. …

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It appears the recent move in the US 10-year Treasury yield from 1.2% to 1.7% had very little to do with inflation expectations.

by mark000 https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2021/03/04/business/financial-markets/bonds-stock-japanese-economy-global-economy-u-s-treasuries/ [March 4] Japanese funds sold a record $34 billion of foreign bonds in the two weeks ended Feb. 26 as the nation’s fiscal year-end [on 31] March approaches — enough to cause reverberations in U.S. repurchase markets for 10-year …

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IMF: Trade War Hurting Global Growth, May Cut Expectations a Second Time; “Conflict Gauge”: Dalio’s Proprietary World Stress Meter at Highest Level Since 1940s; Bloomberg: “The Bubble’s Losing Air. Get Ready for a Crisis”

Bloomberg: “The Bubble’s Losing Air. Get Ready for a Crisis” “The ‘everything bubble’ is deflating. The fact that it’s happening relatively slowly shouldn’t blind us to the real threat: The world is dangerously underestimating how hard it’ll be to deal …

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