The Fed is effectively “fighting the last war,” BofA global economist Ethan Harris said…. The next recession could come courtesy of the Fed

Federal Reserve officials could be placing too much emphasis on the past when trying to guide the U.S. economy into the future, according to a Bank of America analysis. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/21/bank-of-america-says-the-fed-is-playing-with-fire-by-downplaying-inflation-and-needs-a-new-playbook.html Central bankers are in a precarious spot in this chaotic …

READ MORE

Warning Signs of a Coming Bear Market and Recession

S&P 500 return dispersions tend to get very low about 1-2 years before a #recession and #bearmarket. Could we be getting that close again already? If so, then March 2020 was just a #correction.@RealInvAdvice @SoberLook pic.twitter.com/l4sVhGbSCp — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) …

READ MORE

Recession starts when 10-2’s double bottom. Thats now.

https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1122320155101618176 https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1122325719890255872 https://twitter.com/DrForecast/status/1122237367522402305 https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1122295231079170049 Wall Street’s Faith-Based Economics And The Proverbial “Second Half Recovery” He takes his case a step further by highlighting a chart that shows industrial output and consumption slowdowns. It illustrates that their growth rates turned down …

READ MORE

Tick, Tick, Talk, 2019 Recession Coming

by David Haggith The 2018 stock market crash is now a fait accompli, having taken a polar bear plunge that put ice in the veins of the Fed and electrified their collective spine with such a deep chill they ran like a fat walrus …

READ MORE