by Shaun Richards On the 22nd of this month something will happen in the UK for only the second time when a government bond matures and is repaid. It comes from a consequence of the fact that the Bank of …
*UPDATE* Second week of "Quantitative Tightening" and FED INCREASED its ~$9TN balance sheet by $14 Billion, including $20BN increase in residential MBS. As we've exposed, FED is buying more USTs and MBS than their own principal estimates. Zero explanation. Zero …
Bank lending standards have been tightening as margin widen across the board. HY spread should follow 👇 pic.twitter.com/KA8sAI351z — Menthor Q (@MenthorQpro) June 6, 2022 Consumers Loans > Personal Savings for the first time since 2008 pic.twitter.com/GR5ZCTyDIr — Enron Musk …
by confoundedinterest17 Another 10 basis point jumps in Treasury yields, this time at the 2-year Treasury Note. The 10Y-2Y Treasury slope just flattened to +26 BPS. Another step in rising mortgage rates! Washington DC is anything but Harmony Hall.
THERE'S A MASSIVE FISCAL TIGHTENING UNDERWAY These days all the focus is on the Fed's monetary moves. But people should also be looking at what's happening on the fiscal side, where an extremely rapid tightening is underway From the @markets …
by confoundedinterest17 US home prices were growing at a near 20% YoY rate for the latest Case-Shiller National home price index report. But mortgage rates have soaring like a SpaceX missile shot. The result? Closed sales for April 2022 are down -9.5% …
This is the SPX in 2009, very similar if you overlay the weekly chart of 2022 pic.twitter.com/W5BSMgD74H — William (@WilliamsGK) May 20, 2022 This is gold 😂 https://t.co/CI889A1fFF — Tarric Brooker aka Avid Commentator 🇦🇺 (@AvidCommentator) May 21, 2022 NDX …
4. Correlation or Causation. Stockmarket generally has a bad time when banks are tightening up on lending.@topdowncharts $MACRO $SPX $SPY pic.twitter.com/QlcmmDio2E — Callum Thomas (@Callum_Thomas) May 14, 2022 5. Correlation vs Causation pt 2: Shifts in bank lending standards point …
Survey: 85% in U.S. Worry About Inflation The financial website WalletHub took the pulse of Americans as the Federal Reserve is poised for a rate change. John S. Kiernan, managing editor of the site, wrote about the survey: Federal Reserve …
We’ve gone from RECORD EASING to RECORD TIGHTENING. This won’t end well. Our CCI composite combines the 5 key drivers of the profits cycle. Stay far away from risk-on strategies. #macro $SPY pic.twitter.com/fFvkIhkUfz — Kantro (@MichaelKantro) April 23, 2022 Here …
by confoundedinterest17 As The Federal Reserve threatens to tighten monetary policy, 30-year mortgage rates have risen to 4.25% leading two major mortgage companies, Rocket Mortgage and United Wholesale Mortgage, to decline to all-time lows. But wait, Federal Reserve officials signaled they …
https://twitter.com/MFHoz/status/1496128050379042823 The cost of Russia's aggression in Ukraine will be deep recession, with financial conditions tightening sharply via interest rates, the stock market & CDS (white). Very little spillover to CEEMEA, including Turkey (orange) & South Africa (yellow). But contagion …
Mark O’Byrne on Palisades Gold Radio Tom welcomes Mark O’Byrne back to the show. Mark is the Founder of Health Wealth Gold. To subscribe to our newsletter and get notified of new shows, please visit http://palisadesradio.ca Mark discusses gold’s lack of reaction …
US Bankrate 30y mortgage rate The market is tightening without the FED pic.twitter.com/vJHvpnEWpX — Alessio (@AlessioTMAD) February 13, 2022 Eye-opening chart from @Crescat_Capital. It looks to me that this indicator (which has been reliable in the past) is pointing to …
U.S. poultry producers are tightening safety measures for their flocks as disease experts warn that wild birds are likely spreading a highly lethal form of avian flu across the country. https://t.co/LpkuygEjqt — Reuters Health (@Reuters_Health) February 11, 2022
Global central banks are unanimous that they must "shock and awe" markets with the fastest tightening in two decades:https://t.co/SIuvff4zJf "Larger rate hikes might boost central bankers’ inflation-fighting credibility" Yes indeed. pic.twitter.com/o04Vgfd6ZK — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) February 9, 2022 Those who say …
The UK is ahead in the tightening cycle. Look at the #yieldcurve to see how much room the Bank of England has left to tighten. The yield curve has flattened to just 21 basis points. A hike of 0.50% would …
European markets are awash with hawkish enthusiasm, as traders bet on the fastest pace of policy tightening in more than a decade from the BOE and ECB ahead of their rate decisions on Thursday https://t.co/H9PlW6mzvw — Bloomberg Markets (@markets) January …
*The SPY in 2008 (right) vs 2022 (left) – Fed tightening is causing liquidity to tighten further at a time when banks/institutions aren’t lending (Aka via reverse repo banks are sending years of QE $ back to the Fed) amid …
https://twitter.com/edwardnh/status/1478355470800859137 With the Democrats struggling to pass another stimulus bill, and the Fed beginning to “taper” their bond purchases, liquidity will reverse next year. The annual rate of change in the S&P 500 compared to our “measure of liquidity”, suggests …
CNBC, Released on 12/15/21 Peter Boockvar, Bleakley Advisory CIO, breaks down the Fed’s impact on the market. Peter Boockvar is the Chief Investment Officer of Bleakley Financial Group and Editor of The Boock Report newsletter https://boockreport.com/.
This is a perfect example of how some stocks have already crashed. The average Nasdaq composite stock is down 39.1% vs its 52 week high. Indexes are increasingly held up only by the big names rather than broad based market …
https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1466779100727685122 IMF Urges the Fed to Speed Up Monetary Policy Tightening amid Mounting Inflation Fears It would be “appropriate” for the Fed to accelerate tapering and bring forward the path for rate hikes, the International Monetary Fund said.
by Shaun Richards Over the past couple of months we have become increasingly concerned about the economy of Spain which is caught between a burst of inflation and a slowing economy. This morning’s official release will focus more minds on …
https://twitter.com/edwardnh/status/1447615047463809024 Asia HY bond ETF with a nasty price action today. Nothing compared to the pandemic panic, but that was a very different global risk environment. pic.twitter.com/mBLrhXN1Ig — xero (@TradingandMore) October 11, 2021
An end to super-cheap money? Central banks begin tightening cycle https://t.co/htzNjcCxKW — Financial Times (@FT) September 24, 2021 'U.S. stocks that are booming thanks to ultra-low bond yields are now the most expensive since at least 1992. It’s a sign …
Very briefly and simplistically, more $USD #liquidity disappearing into the #Fed #RRP, counteracting #QE and tightening financial conditions. — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) July 14, 2021 Around 675,000 AMC puts changed hands today, surpassing # of calls traded for the first …
So FED over-eased monpol, forced Chinese economy to tighten (globalization, easing "here" means tightening "there"). If China is tightening, the whole world is tightening too with or without Lagarde or Powell. I bet both Lagarde and Powell will be in …
by FS David Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff, says the odds of a U.S. recession in 2019 are rising and are probably much higher than the consensus expects. Speaking on Financial Sense Newshour last week, Rosenberg pointed …