Glass-Steagall would have saved us

by Randy_Newman1502 A popular idea that has taken root in people’s imaginations is that “Glass-Steagall” would have “saved” the United States from the vagaries of the financial crisis. My objective here is to argue that it would have done no such thing. Now, I fully understand that it is extremely difficult to argue a counterfactual (what would have … Read more

Bearish Due Dilligence.

by SpicyMussolini For the past nine years, the equities market has seen one of the best percent gains since the Bull Market of 1948-1969. Corporate taxes are low, GDP growth is strong, and joblessness well below the Natural Rate of Unemployment (NRU). However, quite a few ratios, economic data, and past performances are pointing to … Read more

CAPTAIN OBVIOUS SPEAKS! After Getting ARRESTED This GOP Rep Tells Everyone What We Already Knew

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=daQv78Cx_TY Evie Fordham for the Daily Caller reports, New York Republican Rep. Chris Collins will not seek a fourth term in Congress after being indicted on insider trading charges Wednesday, the congressman said Saturday morning despite saying “I will also continue to fight the meritless charges brought against me and I look forward to having … Read more

What are some clear indicators of an inflationary gap?

by BainCapitalist There are many, and deciding which ones are better than others is a subject of huge debate in macroeconomics. I’ll give you a couple examples: Inflation rate. This can more specifically be CPI, PCE, or a core measure. The Federal Reserve Bank of the United States uses a PCE-Core inflation target to judge the … Read more

More Americans are defaulting on their credit cards – Harbinger of things to come?

by OfficialHavik   Usually the first sign of a downturn is when default rates for various kinds of debt rise (credit card, auto loan, etc.). Here’s an article from the NYpost talking about it. https://nypost.com/2018/08/11/more-americans-are-defaulting-on-their-credit-cards-analyst/ Despite a booming economy, many Americans are having trouble paying credit card bills, industry observers warn. An increasing number of … Read more

New loan programs target home buyers with just 3% down—or less

Article here Some of the more concerning ones: -Crowdsourcing CMG Financial, a lender based in San Ramon, California, has created Homefundme.com, where prospective home buyers can tap the collective pockets of their social network. “They can basically ask their family, friends, associates, colleagues, Facebook friends to give them five bucks here and there” toward a down … Read more

China Is Literally Printing Money for Brazil, India, Poland, and Many Other Nations

via businessinsider: China’s money-printing industry is running at “full steam” for foreign clients including Thailand, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, India, Brazil, and Poland, according to reports. The printing is linked to China’s Belt and Road Initiative, which has seen China build infrastructure and invest in about 60 countries in Europe, Asia, and Africa. “A nation must … Read more

The “synchronized growth” mirage is fading; Turkey is not the only country who’s currency is melting away.

The "synchronized growth" mirage is fading. The bond market -like most markets- is a game of relatives. As investors become aware of liquidity and solvency risks in "high yield" and emerging markets, funds flow into US treasuries and dollar assets despite their own challenges pic.twitter.com/KXJwLqyyJS — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) August 13, 2018 What do you … Read more

The Risk Free Rate Is A Guaranteed Loss

via @OccupyWisdom : The #CPI #inflation number (obviously it’s much higher) is 2.90% And…the 10 year #treasury is at 2.87% So…after loaning #money for ten years, you end up with a negative rate of return. Then you have to pay #taxes on top. The risk free rate is a guaranteed loss After #taxcuts and rising #interestrates the … Read more

This is not time to be complacent when everybody else is. Markets are ‘greedy’ in 2018 when they should be like Steve Carell’s character in ‘TheBigShort’= skeptical

Fund positioning at extreme bullish levels, anemic late summer trading volumes EM risks, high VIX short trade and double top potential formation mean this is not time to be complacent when everybody else is 💤. Remember, computers drive 70% of trading pic.twitter.com/jZ9FZ4huJI — M/1_LP (@MI_Investments) August 13, 2018 Markets are 'greedy' in 2018 🙈🙉🙊 when … Read more

Summer of ’97? The SPX jumped 6% in the month after the baht took its bath…. EM is the canary for U.S markets. It’s going to be swift and violent

https://twitter.com/KyleKovacovsky/status/1029084819639087105 H O L Y S H I T–> "The emerging market foreign exchange basket just witnessed its largest 4D drawdown since Lehman. That’s -5.3% being a 5.2% standard deviation move over a ten year period," h/t @Convertbond #Lira $USD $TRYUSD pic.twitter.com/eWG94Ne7nd — Alastair (@StockBoardAsset) August 13, 2018 The US equity market response takes me … Read more

Democrats are giving up on capitalism

Watch the latest video at foxnews.com According to a Gallup poll released Monday, more Democrats view socialism positively than they do capitalism – a development that comes amid the popularity of Democratic socialist candidates in the midterm elections. Fifty-seven percent of Democrats polled by Gallup have a favorable view of socialism, while just 47 percent … Read more

Massive RIOTS all over Sweden – Mass unrest happening right now, youth gangs setting cars on fire and attacking police in several different cities at the same time.

80 fires in different cities, planned attack by people dresses in black. They are using homemade bombs. Nobody knows why they are doing it.   Swedish Police has now issued a statement on the riots tonight, here’s the highlights. – Unrest in 8 different areas – Some 90 cars have been destroyed / damaged – … Read more

Is It Time for Judicial Reform?

by Martin Armstrong Trump really needs to clean house when it comes to the judicial system. It is just totally out of control and they have long held themselves above the law. The majority of judges outright deny human rights in America, civil rights, and ignore the Constitution when it suits them. Trump needs to … Read more

Romanians Out Again over Government Corruption

by Martin Armstrong Once again, tens of thousands of Romanians have taken to the streets demanding the end of corruption in government. At least 450 people were injured in clashes with the police who are still defending the government against the people. We are looking at a worldwide epidemic of corruption in government that has known no … Read more