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Josh Sigurdson talks with Tim Picciott of The Liberty Advisor about the fall of the Manhattan retail industry and moreover, the collapse of the global retail industry as the everything bubble bursts. Just Broadway alone in New York City has 188 vacancies which points to a far greater problem. That we are seeing vast quantities … Read more
via hedgefundtelemetry: The global equity markets continue higher today on “trade optimism” once again. Equity bullish sentiment has been extreme on the upside and several secondary DeMark Countdown exhaustion signals have recycled and/or have secondary Countdowns triggering 13’s or are quite close. There’s some internals like very low put-call ratios, volume, lack of new 52 week … Read more
by WSBConsensus MarketWatch, Reuter’s, and WSJ. WSJ article is the best read if you want to understand how their book and its exotic products are structured. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.marketwatch.com/amp/story/guid/59230682-AE52-11E9-B74D-5A69D8EB3890 https://www.google.com/amp/s/mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKCN1UI2TT https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wsj.com/amp/articles/does-deutsche-bank-have-a-47-trillion-derivatives-problem-1475689629
Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s regular survey of global fund managers finds investors have traded fears of recession for the “fear of missing out.” The investment bank’s latest survey of global fund managers found that cash levels posted their largest decline since President Donald Trump’s 2016 election. “The bulls are back…global recession concerns vanish and … Read more
by Jenny Jayne via The Organic Prepper Homelessness in California has already reached a state of crisis, but with the winter approaching and the homeless population growing, the problem continues to worsen. A lack of affordable housing coupled with the national opioid crisis has resulted in a growing homeless population that lives on the streets of California. California homeless … Read more
by Briah Mahar of Daily Reckoning The Fools Are Rushing in Again As a bad penny returns to its sender, or a dog returns to its vomit… investors are returning to the stock market. “All in” these gentlemen and ladies are going (or at least the computer algorithms that set market pace). Lance Roberts of Real … Read more
Tulsi calling out Hillary’s conspiracy theories.
via mises: According to new data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the personal saving rate in the US in September 2019 was 8.3 percent. That puts it near a six-year high, and comparable to the saving rate we saw during the early 1990s. Indeed, the personal saving rate has been heading upward steadily for … Read more
by Lance Roberts In this past weekend’s newsletter, I discussed the rather severe extensions of the market above both the longer-term bullish trend and the 200-dma. To wit: “Currently, it will likely pay to remain patient as we head into the end of the year. With a big chunk of earnings season now behind us, and … Read more
by C.Davis People really should avert their gaze from the modern survival thinking for just a bit and also look at how the guys who wandered the west 150 or so years ago did it. 1.Community – We were not meant to survive in isolation forever. There are many skills we can learn from one another. Nothing will help … Read more
by UPFINA Given the rise in stocks, the steepening of the yield curve, and the rise in long term treasury yields, it’s no surprise fund managers see less of a threat of the US entering a recession in the next year. As you can see from the Bank of America survey below, credit investors see a … Read more
by UPFINA The action in markets since early October suggests investors see a global cyclical recovery in 2020. The S&P 500 and the MSCI ACWI have increased 5 straight weeks for the first time since December 2017. The CNN fear and greed index hit 91 which is extreme greed (data all as of November 8th). The … Read more
by paperfoampit You may have heard of president Evo Morales recently being ousted from the Bolivian government after controversy surrounding his presidency. What you may not have heard is that Bolivia has a massive amount of Lithiumhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-12-03/bolivia-s-almost-impossible-lithium-dream Futhermore, a few days before Morales withdrew from his presidency, he broke off a deal with a … Read more
In a report published Monday, Moody’s said political and geopolitical turbulence is exacerbating a gradual slowdown in trend GDP growth, aggravating structural bottlenecks and increasing the risk of economic or financial shocks. Moody’s identified the emergence of influential “populist” movements and suggested this is undermining the effectiveness of domestic policy, weakening institutional strength and compounding … Read more
by TraderTui The course gives a broad overview of introductory finance that most here will obviously already know. The first reason I thought it worth sharing is because the teacher (Andrew Lo) is probably the best and most passionate finance professor I’ve ever seen. Really hooks you into the lectures. The second is that the … Read more
Deutsche Bank has been forced to admit to regulators its role in the UK payment system still suffers serious problems, years after it was first placed in remediation, which has led to tens of thousands of transactions for clients such as Amazon being held up. Deutsche executives met Bank of England officials two weeks ago … Read more
The United States has both a debt and deficit problem, driven by years of overspending and unfunded promises made by politicians of both parties to pay for war, health care and retirement benefits to current and future seniors. Their solution to the problem is simply going more into debt. There is only one way this … Read more
The yield curve going back to normal is almost certainly an extremely bearish sign. It always reverts to normal beforea recession hits, often merely months ahead. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=ptQw “After the first intraday inversion on August 14th, we got a preview of the arguments that would be used to explain away the yield curve’s signal: a deeply negative term … Read more
Complacency at its finest. Implied vol for stocks retesting levels that preceded previous selloffs. pic.twitter.com/LOITvpVYjR — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) November 10, 2019