Credit Suisse view on the S&P500

by BlueTreeCloud The S&P 500 is showing signs of stalling as expected at the beginning of our flagged resistance/objective, seen stating at 2855 and stretching up to 2934 – the 61.8% retracement of the Q1 collapse. Although the market fell …

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Michael Pento – Losing Faith in Fiat – Record High Gold Around the World. Coming a Time When the Money is No Good & Bonds are No Good

Money manager and economist Michael Pento predicts a “tsunami of inflation” is coming in the not-too-distant future. Pento says, “People are losing faith in fiat currencies. The price of gold in other currencies is already at all-time record highs. Even …

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Status of Home Mortgages and CLOs

by JJ_Shiro I’ve collected this over the past few weeks. Thought I would share considering the controversy about current market valuations. Mortgages (04/17) 2.9 million US home loans are in forbearance (payments delayed without penalties). This equates to 5.5% of all active …

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Why Friday was likely the top for now.

by TessTickols My attempt at analysing the SPY chart after last week (AKA Crayon drawings): https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPY/MLMq5QLn-Bear-market-rally-finally-reversing/ The rally from the lows (likely initiated by massive shorts covering) has been gaining momentum for a while. This last week it has been …

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Is Stock Rally Getting Too Thin?

by Dana Lyons This furious stock rally has recently been accompanied by signs of historically poor participation. When judging the quality and potential sustainability of a risk-on rally, we like to see participation by a broad number of stocks in the …

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Volatility will rule for a long time imo as the fed will have ever more to prop up to keep this ship patched together.

https://twitter.com/hks55/status/1251249534728056832 Guggenheim’s Minerd Sees Chance of S&P Falling as Low as 1,200: Bloomberg https://t.co/Y7im6qQmLm — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 17, 2020 https://twitter.com/edwardnh/status/1251197963227070464 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1251109157958225920 🔰Conference Board Leading Economic Index Sees Largest Decline in Its History🔴🔴🔴 #recession #depression pic.twitter.com/24ZY5GCYLr — Antonio …

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More questions than answers. Luckin Coffee accounting scandal highlights the murky standards of China Inc.

by ilikepancakez Analyst report from Nigel Stevenson at GMT Research, a Hong Kong based accounting research firm: https://www.gmtresearch.com/en/research/luckin-coffee-more-questions-than-answers/ Summary / Highlights I found relevant : Even if the alleged fraud was the work of a small group of individuals, it is …

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Who‘s big / well connected enough to be bailed out should be the starting point of every equity valuation in the forseeable future…

Who‘s big / well connected enough to be bailed out should be the starting point of every equity valuation in the forseeable future… pic.twitter.com/nwO6UNlxer — David Schrottenbaum (@David_Schro) April 16, 2020 S&P500 now more concentrated in the 5 largest stocks …

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Remdesivir vs. SPY tomorrow

by ksixi I’m more bullish than probably 80% of folks on this site, but this trial data is useless. First of all, 125 patients is a tiny sample size. Second of all, 2 patients died, which is a 1.6% fatality …

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“While on average we may face a bear market every 10 years, this one is like no other,”… Billionaire Paul Singer’s Elliott Management said global stocks could tumble more — ultimately losing half of their value from February’s high

The Next 45 Days Are the ‘Most Critical Period in U.S. Financial History’ “While on average we may face a bear market every 10 years, this one is like no other,”… After recovering a chunk of the losses racked up …

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