Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, When the wreck is recovered, witnesses will wonder why they took such heedless, foolish risks. You’re in the back seat wedged between tipsy revelers, the driver is drunk and heading into Deadman’s …
by confoundedinterest17 I remember my academic colleague at The Ohio State University (now at Notre Dame), Paul Schultz saying “Why do you find fixed-income and the yield curve interesting?” I have always found the yield curve to be interesting … …
by confoundedinterest17 I have no idea why Jack Dorsey tweeted “705742.” But I do know that Bitcoin hit 63,982.92 this morning as the US 10Y-3M curve has been steepening. Since the 3-month Treasury yield has been repressed to near zero, the …
by Chris Black Everyone with a mortgage in Australia should stop paying. That is how you end this. Stop paying taxes, stop paying your mortgage. Kill the banks and you win your freedom. https://rumble.com/vna7jj-grocery-shoppers-under-attack-in-suburban-melbourne-australia.html https://rumble.com/vna7oj-australian-chanting-freedom-australians-are-fighting-back.html I saw a video where …
by confoundedinterest17 Strong words from fixed-income guru Bill Gross. In a meandering and sometimes off-kilter investment outlook posted on his website, the onetime bond king said longer-term Treasury yields are so low that the funds that buy them belong in …
by confoundedinterest17 At the annual Jackson Hole (aka, J-Hole) Economic Symposium, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no hurry to either taper asset purchases immediately or aggressively. Additionally he made crystal clear that even when the Fed does …
Wall St. For Main St., Released on 8/26/21 Here’s proof that covert yield curve control was already done by the Fed: The amount of 10 year and 20 year US Treasury bonds owned by the Fed has already increased from …
Fox Business, Released on 8/24/21 Danielle DiMartino Booth spent nine years as an advisor to Richard W. Fisher at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Danielle left the Fed in 2015 to found Money Strong, LLC, an economic consulting firm …
Can #QE really rescue the World? The powerful Bullard curve warns that Japanification is the result when ultra low interest rates are used. They encourage us to pile on debt!! #inflation may prove only a temporary blip @rbrtrmstrng @RealVision @ttmygh …
by confoundedinterest17 Yes, it is one day after Fed officials boosted the rate on its overnight reverse repurchase agreement facility by 5 basis points to 0.05% and decided to lift the interest paid on excess reserves by 5 basis points to 0.15%. …
The Fed just imploded the cyclical bubble. Peak asset values means peak credit expansion. Peak reflation. pic.twitter.com/gMSsbidB8o — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) June 17, 2021 Good lord, the yield curve keeps going. pic.twitter.com/pirLzmWjQY — Brian Chappatta (@BChappatta) June 17, 2021 The Fed …
On Thursday the NY Fed issued a press release updating their bond buying policy for US Treasuries. Read the PR here: BRIEF-NY Fed Issues Statement Regarding Treasury Securities Operations https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/brief-ny-fed-issues-statement-regarding-treasury-securities-operations/ar-BB1gHM8z It seems the Fed will not be “modestly” reducing its …
They dont even get the sarcasm anymore. All the thumbs up they are giving them hahaha. h/t Zcat
by confoundedinterest17 Treasury managed to sell $24 BILLION in 30 year Treasury bonds. The high yield rate was 2.32%. The result? The 30Y-2Y Treasury slope declined along the the 10Y-2Y slope. Good news for the already blistering housing market.
TradersChoice.net, Released on 4/8/21 Gregory Mannarino started his career working for the securities and trading arm of the now defunct Bear Stearns before the dot-com bubble. After realizing that working on Wall Street was not like the movies, he moved on …
by confoundedinterest17 Markets are a sea of red, while the Treasury curve continues to steepen. The Fed continues to print money despite historic low money velocity. Aka, walking dead … money. Yes, this is the Walking Dead Money market. 😂😂😂 …
by confoundedinterest17 A picture is worth a thousand words. And inflation is starting to rear its ugly head. Hopefully the Biden management team of Powell and Yellen avoid the disasters of Venezuela where their 9% coupon bond that went from par …
by confoundedinterest17 Gold and silver rose on Monday morning while cryptocurrencies Bitcoin and Ethereum fell. Cryptocurrencies (top 5) have exceeded $1 trillion. To be sure, big taxes on cryptocurrencies are on the radar as The Federal Reserve tries to kill competition …
By Robert Ross For about a week last month, the yield curve inverted for the first time since July 2006. Prior to that, this happened in July 2000 and April 1989. There’s a pattern here… each inversion hit about 18 …
Gold implied vol now at all-time lows! Meanwhile: Near 50% of US yield curve inverted. Stocks near record overvalued.Record margins.Longest bull market ever.Outrageously bullish sentiment.Fed flipped dovish.Record global debt/GDP. Nothing wrong here… pic.twitter.com/EnusG9yTER — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) April 14, …
via @TaviCosta: -% of yield curve inversions surging globally; -15 economies now have 30-yr yields lower than LIBOR overnight rates; -US vs. German 5-year yield spread just broke down from a multi-year support line; -UST vs Bunds 10-year yield spread poised …
via forbes: There’s a lot of chatter about the inversion of the yield curve and how it’s an indicator of an impending recession. To better understand, let’s take a look at both the history, and the current situation. Remember that …
by Lance Roberts A Run For The Highs Ignore The Yield Curve…They Said Sector & Market Analysis 401k Plan Manager A Run For The Highs Friday wrapped up the first quarter of 2019, and it was the best quarterly performance …
By John Mauldin Last week, the yield curve inverted for the first time since 2007. The yield for 10-year Treasuries fell below the yield for the 3-month T-Bill. The inversion set off alarm bells and US stocks fell sharply. While …
🚧Probabilities of Recession calculated from the Yield Curve, via @zerohedge tks 2 @Analyst_G @ThePitBoss16 @TradersCom @Lizardjb3 @OccupyWisdom @hks55 @SpeculaThor @Analyst_G @mgftzgd @LordPolemos @CoryLVenable @Simple_Trends @PMack1224 @scar_david @ezkappdo @mcm_ct @EconGlobal pic.twitter.com/kdGSWrsDjK — Antonio Pérez-Algás (@apanalis) March 29, 2019 Nearly the lowest …
by Martin Armstrong Last week, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bill fell below that of the 3-month note for the first time since 2007. This is what everyone calls an Inverted Yield Curve, and is seen as an early …
via mishtalk: Yields dropped across the board today as the Fed said it would be patient. A “Dot Plot” shows no hikes expected in 2019. The lead chart shows interest levels today vs those on December 18, the last meeting in …
Originally posted at RecessionAlert.com Based on the methodology discussed here, we hereby update our U.S Yield-curve inversion forecast and subsequent recession and stock market peak forecasts. All the forecast dates have moved forward by 1 month as the yield curve continues to …
via mishtalk: The yield curve is inverted in 11 different spots. The latest is 5-year to 3-month inversion. The yield curve recession signal is louder and louder. Inversions are persistent and growing. Let’s compare the spreads today to that of December …
by Status_Flux The main reason for raising interest rates is to combat inflation. However the fed doesn’t actually set rates for short term bonds but rather sets the rates at which banks borrow from each other. This in turn affects demand …